Re-suggesting, new sales.

Sale 1:

Sold for 3 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316831771#!/compare/1708041600/1708128000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174680758#!/compare/1708041600/1708905600

https://backpack.tf/item/12365485483

= 3 keys

Sale 2:

Sold with 25.44 ref (~0.4) for 3 keys (keys were 63.94 ref at the time)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1711152000/1711238400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198296615562#!/compare/1710892800/1711238400

https://backpack.tf/item/12727337872

The buyer is not banned for being a scammer, but for being the alt of a hijacked account. It should be fine to use their sales in suggestions.

= 2.6 keys

Sale 3:

Sold to a bot for 2 keys + 20.88 ref (keys were 63.94 ref at the time)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199261948899#!/compare/1710201600/1710288000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199216835040#!/compare/1710201600/1710288000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Spin-to-Win&at=2024-03-14T06:38:06.099Z - confirmed

https://backpack.tf/item/13571695062

= 2.35 keys

Sale 4:

Sold to a bot for 2 keys + 14 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1714348800/1714435200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198876698605#!/compare/1714348800/1714435200

https://backpack.tf/item/9984314122

= 2.2 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for 2 keys + 8.77 ref?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199033098814#!/compare/1716336000/1717286400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199216835040#!/compare/1716768000/1716854400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Spin-to-Win&at=2024-05-28T07:56:33.179Z - labelled as 2 keys + 8.77 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/9642654588

On the buyer’s end, we see 4 keys + 9.77 ref leaving their inventory. 2 keys + 1 ref went towards the Floppin’ Strongarm (first 2 keys + first metal leaving buyer’s end match with previous Strongarm owner). Should be fine to take 2 keys + 8.77 ref here.

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Floppin%27%20Frenzy%20Taunt:%20The%20Soviet%20Strongarm&at=2024-05-28T07:59:56.015Z - Strongarm confirmed here

= 2.1 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198386235523#!/compare/1708646400/1708992000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1708646400/1708732800

https://backpack.tf/item/14145503510

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1709251200/1709337600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199520706865#!/compare/1709337600/1709251200

https://backpack.tf/item/14145503510

Untraceable/Bulk

The rest of the history has scammers/scammer alts in it.

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1710201600/1710288000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199261948899#!/compare/1710201600/1710288000

https://backpack.tf/item/13571695062

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199216835040#!/compare/1712534400/1712620800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199445368562#!/compare/1712966400/1713571200

https://backpack.tf/item/13571695062

Untraceable, most likely sold on marketplace

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065879305#!/compare/1708473600/1708646400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316831771#!/compare/1708560000/1708646400

https://backpack.tf/item/11736557354

2 keys match, most likely was a bit more.

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316831771#!/compare/1712966400/1713052800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199374449683#!/compare/1712966400/1713052800

https://backpack.tf/item/11736557354

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199374449683#!/compare/1713052800/1713139200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252919805#!/compare/1713052800/1713139200

https://backpack.tf/item/11736557354

Untraceable, 2 keys match

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143138318#!/compare/1709596800/1715040000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153269411#!/compare/1646956800/1714435200

https://backpack.tf/item/10737154372

SCM

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199550079610#!/compare/1710633600/1715904000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1710633600/1710720000

https://backpack.tf/item/9984314122

Bulk/untraceable, gambled prior.

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199445368562#!/compare/1716768000/1716854400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199199747687#!/compare/1716768000/1716854400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Spin-to-Win&at=2024-05-29T08:03:08.111Z - labelled as 2 keys + 8.77 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/13571695062

8 ref matches, didn’t look through the buyer’s keys. Looks very likely to be 2 keys + 8.77 ref.

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31161;5;u3006

$8.99, March 7th

$4.99, April 15th

$4.99, April 16th

Keys were:

$1.68, March 7th

$1.65, April 15th & 16th

8.99/1.68 = 5.351

4.99/1.65 = 3.024

= 3 keys (2x)

= 5.35 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/9642654588 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/9640578550 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/9559279585 - mannco

Sellers:

https://imgur.com/a/lR07vud

https://backpack.tf/item/14145503510 - 3 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13786652123 - ~4.3 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/9642654588 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/13571695062 - marketplace

Sales at:

2.1

2.2

2.35

2.6

3 (3x, 2 marketplace)

5.35 keys

5.35 is a clear outlier, countered by sellers. Excluding 5.35.

In the last suggestion, I’d excluded 2.2 as it was a lone sale to a buy order. Given the fact that we now have a sale at 2.1, and another sale that’s almost certainly 2.1 (#10), I’m going to not only include 2.2 in the range, but also add 2.1, due to its proximity.

Taking 2.1-3 keys.