Credit to Admiral Pete, Jarool, Lemons, and Link for being very thorough. v3 I didn't mean to close it, but I realize we can put 68 in here as well

Admiral Pete:

Item 1 - Scrap TF Auction

= 55 Keys - exclude

Item 2 - Past 3 Month on Marketplace TF

109.99/1.68 = 65 Keys - exclude, due to being a key above buy order

Item 3 - History of First Listing

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198249548030#!/compare/1700265600/1700438400

Seems to either have obtained through Gambling or a mix of Items, either way, unavailable

Item 4 - History of Second Listing

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191854982#!/compare/1704844800/1704931200

Gambled over 200 Keys worth of Items to obtain, untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1704844800/1704931200

Also gambled away almost 500 items for 1600, untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198390579099#!/compare/1703980800/1704067200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198390579099#!/compare/1703894400/1703980800

Bought for a mix on Items, then gambled away again, untraceable

Item 5 - Hardstyle

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091840184#!/compare/1704412800/1704499200

For some reason Keys don't show up in his backpack but he gave screenshots to prove a purchase of 68 Keys

https://photos.onedrive.com/share/43E4BAA932ECB949!27158?cid=43E4BAA932ECB949&resId=43E4BAA932ECB949!27158&authkey=!ADvmZurvPaEIWD8&ithint=photo&e=YCmuQU

https://gyazo.com/4fe29d07ac526fca083bdb8fce34e938

Mine:

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/10936299043

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191854982#!/compare/1705276800/1705363200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162339320#!/compare/1705276800/1705363200

Bulk

Item 7

https://backpack.tf/item/10936299043

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162339320#!/compare/1707004800/1707177600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199244659#!/compare/1707177600/1707264000

Bulk

Item 8

https://backpack.tf/item/10936299043

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199244659#!/compare/1707264000/1707350400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198239575462#!/compare/1706745600/1707350400

70 Keys

Item 9

https://backpack.tf/item/10936299043

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064724507#!/compare/1707436800/1707523200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198239575462#!/compare/1707523200/1707609600

I paid 150 keys for the Purple Energy California Cap and the Strange Sunbeams Big Chief ---75 keys - Bulk

Here's the marketplace link:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31117;5;u10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198249548030#!/compare/1708128000/1708214400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125443371#!/compare/1708041600/1708128000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Purple%20Energy%20California%20Cap&at=2024-02-18T02:27:04.438Z - labelled as ~66

https://backpack.tf/item/10637480634

Lemons:

New sales:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199193412191#!/compare/1719878400/1719964800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125763152#!/compare/1719619200/1719878400 - Untrace although it looks like the Airdog and Dead Head were dumped to buyers for keys, then keys used for the California Cap

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Purple%20Energy%20California%20Cap&at=2024-07-06T17:25:10.539Z - Could've been 65 keys as seen here.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064428858#!/compare/1718496000/1718582400 - Dumped to Stn buy orders.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067598194#!/compare/1718150400/1718496000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054270952#!/compare/1718064000/1718150400 - Looks like the 53 keys seen here which instantly went to Cheerio for the Warhood.

Given that half of these sales are ancient now, I'd just go 53 flat here. The higher sales support a raise, which makes 53 better than 42. Even if we could confirm the 65, that's starting to look high with Stn listed at 60 https://gyazo.com/b893c0baa5e58622c17b991bdf5ff763 and 62 and 64 on backpack.tf https://gyazo.com/0555be5d00d20d2aa072231e50f91bb6