Suggestion: Stormy Storm Blighted Beak at 500 keys

Price Suggestion

~450 keys

stormy

37 votes up

15 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Sat, 12 Oct 24 19:14:32 +0000 by Mindacos.

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Comments

Sold for 500 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140316312?time=1720396800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140316312?time=1720483200

Pic of the sale: https://imgur.com/a/bT1Qpip

https://backpack.tf/item/473651139

Near ID: 14657907043

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140316312#!/compare/1720396800/1720483200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198320858710#!/compare/1720137600/1720483200

^Shows the 500 with compares, Oli has a screenshot of steam history in another reply to original as well

Looks good to me. Upvote :)

Here are some other movements

https://backpack.tf/item/1401413725

https://backpack.tf/item/722631332

https://backpack.tf/item/473651139

Do any movements that have happened after ~April 10th!

(should be the most recent for the two that you don't have, but the one that you do have has 2 valid movements)

According to bp.tf inventory history, both Synebon and Alexu have had their Beaks since before April 10th

Alexu backpack snapshot from April 7th

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200589902?time=1712448000

Synebon backpack snapshot from April 1st

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135614126?time=1711929600

ooo, yes. Those are dupes upon further inspection. If Oli is still around you can ask for a screenshot of what he got the beak for before selling to you, as that is also a valid sale for the suggestion.

I asked him after I made the price suggestion and he commented a screenshot :-)

That was the one with you and Oli, the one between the person who owned it before Oli and Oli is what I was saying you should grab.

Bro paid 500 keys and relisted right away for 460. Make it make sense.

typo

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127985312#!/compare/1721174400/1721347200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040965652#!/compare/1721260800/1721347200

https://backpack.tf/item/1579786103

Backpack buy, buyer sold it on marketplace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197974868518#!/compare/1721952000/1722038400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1721952000/1722038400

https://backpack.tf/item/624542433

Bulk for Scorching Beak

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/315;5;u29

https://backpack.tf/item/1579786103

$699.99, July 29th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

Keys were $1.74 at the time

699.99/1.74 = ~402, rounds to 400

https://imgur.com/a/PhD48dd

With you re-selling for cheaper than what you paid, your purchase isn't gonna be very valid. I'd suggest re-suggesting at 400 flat.

its literally 1.02 keys lower than 500 because the guy said "i hate undercutters" or whatever so i put that in as a joke lol thats not a good reason for it to be significantly under 500 keys

i dont know what the policy is on key prices but they were $1.57 on dmarket in july

thank you for the research!

when it comes to cash sales on websites, you take what keys were selling for on the day they sold on their site.

so, for the marketplace sale at $699.99, keys were selling on marketplace on the same day for $1.74, which gives us ~400 keys.

i'm not the be all end all for suggestion prices, so maybe i'm wrong to say 500 should be excluded, but we can wait to see what a mod has to say. usually, if we see someone re-selling an item for less than what they originally paid, it's not uncommon to see that seller re-sell for much less than their listed price some time down the line. in such cases where an item re-sells for much less than what they paid, the sales are voided for the suggestion's sake, to prevent an unnecessary raise.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1727740800/1728000000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058356352#!/compare/1727913600/1728000000

https://backpack.tf/item/624542433

Bulk for Poisoned Shadows Pom-Pommed Provocateur

If someone pays 500 keys pure for a hat, and then struggles to sell it at a lower value than what they paid, that's usually a solid indication that the sale is a high outlier. This happens for a variety of reasons - sometimes buyers regret their purchase, or sometimes the market shifts such that they cannot manage to profit off of a trade they thought would be lucrative.

Whichever explanation is applicable here - I would not rely on 500 here. Since there is a usable sale at 400 keys, I think this could still get a raise to 400 keys flat.