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Starting with MP sales
Hat: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30177;5;u34
Keys: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6
Sale 1.
June 7th
99.95 usd
Key = 1.69 usd
99.95/1.69 = 59.14 keys
Rounding to 59 keys
Non marketplace sales
Item 1. https://backpack.tf/item/13851852458
Sale 2.
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051197765#!/compare/1716508800/1716768000
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048792033#!/compare/1716508800/1716768000
6 keys shown leaving the buyer that show in the history going into the sellers inv, seller shows 44 keys all share a history with the buyer
Taking 44 keys here
Item 2. https://backpack.tf/item/10836941101
Sale 3.
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198171865797#!/compare/1716076800/1720224000
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140170655#!/compare/1716249600/1716336000
shown leaving sellers inv and entering the buyers but nothing else traded
Untrace
item 3. https://backpack.tf/item/14611177448
Sale 4.
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198400937950#!/compare/1719100800/1719446400
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198219288407#!/compare/1719187200/1719360000
Nuts n' Bolts Millennial Mercenary + 5 keys
Hat price is 39 keys but is 5 months old so its out of date
This movement is the only sale in date for the Nuts n' Bolts Millennial Mercenary This is unusable for that reason HOWEVER
Nuts n' Bolts Millennial Mercenary History: https://backpack.tf/item/7884141413
Listings: https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Millennial+Mercenary&quality=5&tradable=1&craftable=1&particle=31&australium=-1&killstreak_tier=0
Listings screenshot: https://imgur.com/a/blAHPVv
Lowest seller at 40 keys
Highest buyer 33.9 keys (rounded to 34 keys)
Nuts n' Bolts Millennial Mercenary valued at 40 keys, 5 keys included in the trade
34+5 = 39 keys (to low)
40+5 = 45 keys
These 2 prices help show that the MP sale is an outlier and back up 44 keys is a more realistic price appose to having a wide range
Item 4. https://backpack.tf/item/11352709978
shows it leaving a steamrep banned user to a bot, it is also the only movement in date
Ignoring it for this reason
The MP sale is high and is an outlier so I am choosing to ignore it same with the Nuts n' Bolts Millennial Mercenary sale as stated above
Taking 44 keys flat
(Friend suggested that I just go 44 keys flat hints the "redo")
Feedback is welcomed
new movement from item 2.
history: https://backpack.tf/item/10836941101
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114899125#!/compare/1720915200/1721347200
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198171865797#!/compare/1721001600/1721347200
A Specialized Killstreak Australium Knife (sheen: Hot Rod) and Bubbling Hong Kong Cone
For a Burning Flames Crabe de Chapeau
the only other movement for the Burning Flames Crabe de Chapeau
History: https://backpack.tf/item/9161384088
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198183929249#!/compare/1714435200/1718668800
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199220022021#!/compare/1716595200/1716854400
Buyer's side shows 15 keys leaving that goes to sellers inv according to most of the item history's for the keys
Buyers for the item are at 55 keys
listings: https://imgur.com/a/7bBB7Il
Can't do anything here
No other movements for both items
Over all Range is unchanged