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~44 keys
bubbling
Unusual Hong Kong Cone Bubbling
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Starting with MP sales

Hat: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30177;5;u34

Keys: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6


Sale 1.

June 7th

99.95 usd

Key = 1.69 usd

99.95/1.69 = 59.14 keys

Rounding to 59 keys


Non marketplace sales


Item 1. https://backpack.tf/item/13851852458


Sale 2.

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051197765#!/compare/1716508800/1716768000

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048792033#!/compare/1716508800/1716768000

6 keys shown leaving the buyer that show in the history going into the sellers inv, seller shows 44 keys all share a history with the buyer

Taking 44 keys here


Item 2. https://backpack.tf/item/10836941101


Sale 3.

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198171865797#!/compare/1716076800/1720224000

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140170655#!/compare/1716249600/1716336000

shown leaving sellers inv and entering the buyers but nothing else traded

Untrace


item 3. https://backpack.tf/item/14611177448


Sale 4.

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198400937950#!/compare/1719100800/1719446400

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198219288407#!/compare/1719187200/1719360000

Nuts n' Bolts Millennial Mercenary + 5 keys

Hat price is 39 keys but is 5 months old so its out of date

This movement is the only sale in date for the Nuts n' Bolts Millennial Mercenary This is unusable for that reason HOWEVER


Nuts n' Bolts Millennial Mercenary History: https://backpack.tf/item/7884141413


Listings: https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Millennial+Mercenary&quality=5&tradable=1&craftable=1&particle=31&australium=-1&killstreak_tier=0

Listings screenshot: https://imgur.com/a/blAHPVv

Lowest seller at 40 keys

Highest buyer 33.9 keys (rounded to 34 keys)


Nuts n' Bolts Millennial Mercenary valued at 40 keys, 5 keys included in the trade

34+5 = 39 keys (to low)

40+5 = 45 keys

These 2 prices help show that the MP sale is an outlier and back up 44 keys is a more realistic price appose to having a wide range


Item 4. https://backpack.tf/item/11352709978

shows it leaving a steamrep banned user to a bot, it is also the only movement in date

Ignoring it for this reason


The MP sale is high and is an outlier so I am choosing to ignore it same with the Nuts n' Bolts Millennial Mercenary sale as stated above

Taking 44 keys flat

(Friend suggested that I just go 44 keys flat hints the "redo")

Feedback is welcomed

    new movement from item 2.

    history: https://backpack.tf/item/10836941101

    Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114899125#!/compare/1720915200/1721347200

    Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198171865797#!/compare/1721001600/1721347200

    A Specialized Killstreak Australium Knife (sheen: Hot Rod) and Bubbling Hong Kong Cone

    For a Burning Flames Crabe de Chapeau


    the only other movement for the Burning Flames Crabe de Chapeau

    History: https://backpack.tf/item/9161384088

    Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198183929249#!/compare/1714435200/1718668800

    Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199220022021#!/compare/1716595200/1716854400

    Buyer's side shows 15 keys leaving that goes to sellers inv according to most of the item history's for the keys

    Buyers for the item are at 55 keys

    listings: https://imgur.com/a/7bBB7Il

    Can't do anything here


    No other movements for both items

    Over all Range is unchanged