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Thank you Lemons/Dante for all the research!
Item #1
https://backpack.tf/item/1250274500
Sale #1
Being used on the Stormy 13th Hour A Rather Festive Tree:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140316312#!/compare/1719705600/1719878400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199438900919#!/compare/1719619200/1719878400
Sale #2
Cloudy Moon Armored Authority (340) + Burning Flames Caribou Companion (100) + Pumpkin Moon Second-Head Headwear (56.5) + 110 keys:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197999470101#!/compare/1718409600/1719446400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199438900919#!/compare/1719360000/1719446400
Caps at buyout which was 600:
https://gyazo.com/79a8e92a8d96f9347521aba45fa54e01
Taking 600 flat!