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Re-suggesting, using sales from the last suggestion onwards
Sale 1:
Sold for 3 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1719273600/1719360000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198300912581#!/compare/1719273600/1719360000
https://backpack.tf/item/6815454151
https://imgur.com/a/r8lRA3V - B/O to confirm
= 3 keys
Sale 2:
Sold for 3 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148561549#!/compare/1722038400/1722211200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119528210#!/compare/1722038400/1722124800
https://backpack.tf/item/7749120617
https://imgur.com/a/TiuoqnC - B/O to confirm
= 3 keys
Sale 2:
Sold to a bot for 2 keys + 44.22 ref (keys at ~63.94 at the time)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199187677783#!/compare/1709942400/1710028800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125348079#!/compare/1709856000/1709942400
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Buy%20A%20Life&at=2024-03-10T01:04:39.036Z - confirmed
https://backpack.tf/item/14091728874
= 2.7 keys
Sale 3:
Sold with 23 ref for 3 keys (keys at ~69.11 ref at the time)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316831771#!/compare/1712880000/1712966400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199010409947#!/compare/1712361600/1712966400
https://backpack.tf/item/2855246719
The taunt had a description tag removed from it, so it’s not grouped with the ref. Item wasn’t scanned in the buyer’s backpack before removing the description.
= 2.65 keys
Sale 4:
Sold for 2 keys + 51.44 ref (~2.6 keys)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198890990852#!/compare/1718668800/1718755200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107045156#!/compare/1718582400/1718668800
https://backpack.tf/item/6259424864
= 2.6 keys
Sale 5:
Sold with 4 ref for Mourning Mercs (~2.73 keys)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1718323200/1718409600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199428472945#!/compare/1718323200/1718755200
https://backpack.tf/item/6815454151
https://imgur.com/a/4qTC1B3 - B/O of ~2.6 (201.22/78.11 = ~2.6)
= 2.6 keys
Sale 6:
Sold to a buy order for 2 keys + 21.11 ref (keys at ~71.6 ref at the time)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198300912581#!/compare/1719360000/1719446400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216241727#!/compare/1719360000/1719446400
https://backpack.tf/item/6815454151
This sale follows the 3 key sale.
= 2.3 keys
Sale 7:
Sold to a bot for 2 keys + 21.11 ref
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199215748094#!/compare/1720483200/1720656000 - Near ID: 14662710657
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099031605#!/compare/1720569600/1720656000
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Buy%20A%20Life&at=2024-07-12T00:35:54.248Z - Confirmed
https://backpack.tf/item/12479004265
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key&at=2024-07-12T00:35:34.058Z - Keys were ~68 ref at the time
= 2.3 keys
Sale 8:
Sold to a bot for 2 keys + 20.33 ref
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199010409947#!/compare/1717891200/1717977600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199029736015#!/compare/1717891200/1717977600
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Buy%20A%20Life&at=2024-06-11T02:16:21.670Z - Confirmed
https://backpack.tf/item/2855246719
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key&at=2024-06-10T00:30:07.361Z - keys were selling for ~81 ref at the time
= 2.25 keys
Sale 9:
Sold to a bot for 2 keys + 19.22 ref (keys were ~78.11 ref)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198990566319#!/compare/1716681600/1716768000 - Near ID: 14517136034
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198890990852#!/compare/1716681600/1716768000
https://backpack.tf/item/6259424864
= 2.25 keys
Sale 10:
Sold to a bot for 2 keys + 10 ref (keys at ~69.11 ref at the time)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198318924307#!/compare/1712707200/1712793600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199521823568#!/compare/1712707200/1712793600
https://backpack.tf/item/6259424864
= 2.15 keys
Other Sales:
#1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1708992000/1709078400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199187677783#!/compare/1709078400/1709164800
https://backpack.tf/item/14091728874
Untraceable
#2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1710028800/1710115200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111292616#!/compare/1710115200/1710201600
https://backpack.tf/item/13559203141
Untraceable
#3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082903911#!/compare/1709596800/1710028800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1709942400/1710028800
https://backpack.tf/item/8283034467
Untraceable/Bulk
#4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1710115200/1710201600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199210166320#!/compare/1710028800/1710201600
https://backpack.tf/item/8283034467
Untraceable, gambled afterwards.
#5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134238543#!/compare/1711497600/1711584000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199257249531#!/compare/1712275200/1713398400 - no prior compare link
https://backpack.tf/item/4950792498
Untraceable
#6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199257249531#!/compare/1713484800/1713657600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085308746#!/compare/1713484800/1713571200
https://backpack.tf/item/4950792498
Untraceable
#7
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198805416054#!/compare/1708905600/1712016000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1709856000/1709942400
https://backpack.tf/item/4774598906
Untraceable
#8
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1711670400/1711756800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068068814#!/compare/1711411200/1711756800
https://backpack.tf/item/4774598906
Untraceable
#9
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198983856237#!/compare/1709942400/1710028800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125254746#!/compare/1709856000/1710633600
https://backpack.tf/item/2965236177
SCM, probably
#10
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125254746#!/compare/1712102400/1714176000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199521823568#!/compare/1712102400/1712188800
https://backpack.tf/item/2965236177
Untraceable
#11
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199521823568#!/compare/1712102400/1712188800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1712102400/1712188800
https://backpack.tf/item/2965236177
Untraceable
#12
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040965652#!/compare/1711670400/1711756800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316831771#!/compare/1711670400/1711756800
https://backpack.tf/item/2855246719
Untraceable
#13
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1713744000/1713830400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198430791#!/compare/1713744000/1713830400
https://backpack.tf/item/2764187972
Untraceable
#14
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199047844271#!/compare/1708041600/1708473600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1708473600/1708560000
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Buy%20A%20Life&at=2024-02-21T01:04:39.036Z - labelled as 2 keys + 38.44 ref
https://backpack.tf/item/2706474972
#15
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127640698#!/compare/1717718400/1717977600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1717891200/1717977600
https://backpack.tf/item/6815454151
Sold for less than 2 keys in liquid to quicksell.store
#16
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199428472945#!/compare/1718755200/1719878400 - Near ID: 14611047550
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1718928000/1719100800
https://backpack.tf/item/6815454151
Sold to quicksell.store with a cheap-ish cosmetic for ~2 keys in taunts. This sale follows Sale 6.
#17
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198293333305#!/compare/1715299200/1715990400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1715904000/1715990400
https://backpack.tf/item/6259424864
Untraceable
#18
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1716508800/1716595200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198990566319#!/compare/1716508800/1716595200
https://backpack.tf/item/6259424864
Untraceable
#19
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107045156#!/compare/1719100800/1719187200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198361399849#!/compare/1719446400/1719619200
https://backpack.tf/item/6259424864
Untraceable, probably gambled
#20
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199022714734#!/compare/1715040000/1715817600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199226989374#!/compare/1708732800/1718582400
https://backpack.tf/item/4716685032
Untraceable
#21
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132793176#!/compare/1710633600/1719360000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199183171982#!/compare/1719273600/1719360000
https://backpack.tf/item/4574419880
Backpack buy
#22
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1715558400/1715644800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255123687#!/compare/1715299200/1715731200
https://backpack.tf/item/2965236177
Untraceable, 2 keys + ~10 ref match, guaranteed to have been more than this.
#23
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255123687#!/compare/1716249600/1716595200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1716508800/1716595200
https://backpack.tf/item/2965236177
Untraceable, traded back to STN
#24
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1715558400/1715644800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174946801#!/compare/1715040000/1716422400
https://backpack.tf/item/2716664936
Untraceable, bulk-ish
#25
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1720310400/1720396800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199143593182#!/compare/1720137600/1720828800
https://backpack.tf/item/8829074438
Untraceable
#26 & #27
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1721433600/1721520000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199668418512#!/compare/1721347200/1721520000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098551306#!/compare/1721433600/1721520000
All untraceable, flipped to a bot after snagging from scrap.tf
https://backpack.tf/item/5444186527 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/2763604526 - backpack buy
https://backpack.tf/item/2706474972 - marketplace
Sellers:
https://imgur.com/a/bgfnTLa
https://backpack.tf/item/2704715493 - ~4 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/6815454151 - ~4.1 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/12479004265 - ~4.1 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/3679974073 - ~4.1 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/2763604526 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/5444186527 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/13559203141 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/6490494742 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/4574419880 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/14091728874 - marketplace
Sales at:
2.15
2.25 (2x)
2.3 (2x)
2.6 (2x)
2.65
2.7
3 (2x)
One of the sales at 3 re-sold to a bot, invalidating it. The other sale at 3, however, is still valid.
Far too many purchases at 2.25-2.3 keys to exclude them all. Keeping 2.25 in the range. 2.15 can go, however.
Taking 2.25-3 keys.