Sale 1:

Sold for 14 keys + less than a key in metal (at the time).

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198176658517#!/compare/1716076800/1716163200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198831628819#!/compare/1715990400/1716163200

https://backpack.tf/item/7956723301

Gambled afterwards.

= 14 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 13 keys + 45.44 ref?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198384340487#!/compare/1717372800/1718150400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199193412191#!/compare/1717286400/1717372800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Kill-a-Watt%20L%27homme%20Burglerre&at=2024-06-04T08:36:12.958Z - labelled as 13 keys + 45.44 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/7956723301

12 keys + 45.44 ref match, should be able to give the missing key the benefit of the doubt, and take this sale for granted (rounds to 14 keys)

= 14 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 14 keys + negligible metal?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155110999#!/compare/1721952000/1722038400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198167452586#!/compare/1721865600/1722038400

https://backpack.tf/item/2715544572

On the day this sold, it was listed for ~14.7 keys

https://imgur.com/a/eG4RPv8

It’s likely that more metal was involved, but I can’t prove it. I’ll just take 14 here.

= 14 keys

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010242783#!/compare/1703376000/1721001600 - Near ID: 14674107441

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199192088525#!/compare/1720915200/1721001600

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Kill-a-Watt%20L%27homme%20Burglerre&at=2024-07-15T08:39:16.785Z - labelled as 11 keys + 40.33 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/7957206471

40.33 ref matches, should be able to give the missing keys the benefit of the doubt, and take ~12 keys here.

= 12 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013011182#!/compare/1719532800/1719619200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1719532800/1719619200

https://backpack.tf/item/7956462492

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316071886#!/compare/1715904000/1715990400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198384340487#!/compare/1717372800/1718150400

https://backpack.tf/item/2715544572

Bulk for keys

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1721779200/1721865600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155110999#!/compare/1721779200/1721865600

https://backpack.tf/item/2715544572

12 keys match, probably had more keys/metal involved that may appear on the buyer's end.

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1722297600/1722384000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198831628819#!/compare/1722297600/1722384000

https://backpack.tf/item/7956973673

Untraceable, went into a gambling ring

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30182;5;u56

https://backpack.tf/item/7955720326

$25.99, May 15th, July 11th & 14th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - Keys were:

$1.65, May 15th

$1.69, July 11th & 14th

25.99/1.65 = ~15.75, rounds to 16

25.99/1.69 = ~15.38, rounds to 15

Sellers:

https://imgur.com/a/PjVg2VF

https://backpack.tf/item/7956723301 - 15 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2344657536 - 16 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7957206471 - marketplace

Sales at:

12

14 (3x)

15 (marketplace)

16 (marketplace)

Buyers at 13+ keys. Excluding 12.

I’d originally planned on excluding 15, as at the time there were 3 sellers at ~14.7 keys. However, two of these have moved (and given how bots work, have most likely sold for their listed amounts), and 15 is no longer looking high here. I will exclude 16 still.

Taking 14-15.