https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/316;5;u36

$350, June 20th

$399.99 & $459.99, July 6th

$459.99, July 24th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

Keys were:

$1.64, June 20th

$1.69, July 6th

$1.70, July 24th

https://backpack.tf/item/783474370 - most likely the July 24th sale

https://backpack.tf/item/934127255 - one of the July 6th sales

350/1.64 = 213.415, rounds to 210

399.99/1.69 = 236.68, rounds to 240

459.99/1.69 = 272.183, rounds to 270

459.99/1.7 = 270.582, rounds to 270

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198808579976#!/compare/1722038400/1722297600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1722211200/1722297600

https://backpack.tf/item/783474370

Untraceable, some keys match. This item has been duped waaaaaay too many times, it’s hard to tell what trades actually exist, and this is the only one I was able to confirm.

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199658030497#!/compare/1717372800/1717632000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310750043#!/compare/1717545600/1717632000

https://backpack.tf/item/1369543461

Untraceable

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310750043#!/compare/1718582400/1718668800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073161158#!/compare/1718668800/1718755200

https://backpack.tf/item/1369543461

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073161158#!/compare/1718668800/1718755200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108873661#!/compare/1718928000/1719100800

https://backpack.tf/item/1369543461

Untraceable

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108873661#!/compare/1719187200/1719878400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049121113#!/compare/1719187200/1719532800

https://backpack.tf/item/1369543461

Untraceable, auction involved

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049121113#!/compare/1719532800/1719619200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063640894#!/compare/1719532800/1719619200

https://backpack.tf/item/1369543461

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063640894#!/compare/1719532800/1719619200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177872379#!/compare/1719619200/1719705600

https://backpack.tf/item/1369543461

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/item/1337156941 - marketplace

Sellers:

https://imgur.com/a/84FYHsJ

https://backpack.tf/item/783474370 - 254 (2x) & 264, all duped

https://backpack.tf/item/613943050 - 400 keys, spelled

https://backpack.tf/item/1369543461 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/1337156941 - marketplace

https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Steaming+Pyromancer%27s+Mask

https://imgur.com/a/yWXigRP - ~291 keys on STN

https://backpack.tf/item/783474370

Sales at:

210

240

270 (2x)

Can’t confirm that the other sale at 270 is for a clean one, but given that the other 270 is most likely for the mass-duped one, we can safely assume that there is no difference between duped and clean for the sake of this suggestion. With that in mind, we have a duped sale at 270, and 3 duped sellers all for cheaper than 270, so 270 will be excluded here.

While there is a buyer at 232, I’m not keen on using it as the sole reason for excluding 210 from the range, given the distance between them and other buyers, and the age of the listing. That being said, with STN having an inactive buy order at 220, it should be relatively safe to assume that there were buy orders around the 210 mark at the time of that sale. On the contrary, with STN owning one, while having their inactive buy order, it may be seen as support for the inclusion of 210 in the range, as there is now another potential sale at 210. For now, I’ll stick with excluding 210, and go with 240 flat, which matches the median of the sales we have here anyways.

Taking 240 flat.