Sale 1:

Sold for 15 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1719532800/1719619200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199376098763#!/compare/1719619200/1719705600

https://backpack.tf/item/12182293028

= 15 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 14 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078117239#!/compare/1719187200/1719273600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050097681#!/compare/1719273600/1719705600

https://backpack.tf/item/12240585661

= 14 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 14 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1717113600/1717200000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199239594077#!/compare/1715904000/1717200000

https://backpack.tf/item/12200448654

= 14 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for 13 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198339104273#!/compare/1715904000/1715990400 - Near ID: 14486187025

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342722151#!/compare/1715904000/1715990400

https://backpack.tf/item/13131872772

= 13 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for 13 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1723075200/1723161600 - Near ID: 14766058700

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140307206#!/compare/1722902400/1723161600

https://backpack.tf/item/12182293028

= 13 keys

Sale 6:

Sold to a bot for 12 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198339104273#!/compare/1717027200/1717113600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1716940800/1717027200

https://backpack.tf/item/12200448654

= 12 keys

Sale 7:

Sold for 12 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074156684#!/compare/1718409600/1719705600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342722151#!/compare/1718928000/1719187200

https://backpack.tf/item/12184747929

= 12 keys

Sale 8:

Sold to STN for 12 keys + negligible metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199071689970#!/compare/1718236800/1718409600 - Near ID: 14587067034

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1718409600/1718496000

https://backpack.tf/item/12182293028

= 12 keys

Sale 9:

Sold for 10 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198377177128#!/compare/1721001600/1721174400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198339104273#!/compare/1720915200/1721001600

https://backpack.tf/item/14609179250

Gambled prior

= 10 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082731120#!/compare/1717113600/1717977600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254660352#!/compare/1720742400/1721001600

https://backpack.tf/item/14389121008

SCM

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198370149473#!/compare/1717286400/1719705600 - hasn’t updated

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199426536274#!/compare/1719532800/1719792000

https://backpack.tf/item/13567663084

Untraceable, probably scammed or something

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199426536274#!/compare/1719792000/1719964800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1719878400/1719964800

https://backpack.tf/item/13567663084

Bulk for keys

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1720569600/1720656000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099219186#!/compare/1720137600/1720656000

https://backpack.tf/item/13567663084

Sold for ~18 keys in items. Not using without a B/O cap. Also appears to have re-sold for less

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099219186#!/compare/1721260800/1721433600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117597416#!/compare/1721260800/1721347200

https://backpack.tf/item/13567663084

Untraceable, a key matches on the buyer’s end.

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198864525233#!/compare/1722643200/1722729600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1722643200/1722729600

https://backpack.tf/item/13558315146

Untraceable/Bulk

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146143762#!/compare/1719360000/1719964800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097966169#!/compare/1719446400/1719532800

https://backpack.tf/item/13131872772

Untraceable

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097966169#!/compare/1719446400/1719532800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199520962516#!/compare/1719360000/1719532800

https://backpack.tf/item/13131872772

Untraceable

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199520962516#!/compare/1719532800/1719705600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1719532800/1719619200

https://backpack.tf/item/13131872772

Untraceable

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1722643200/1722729600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199216156983#!/compare/1722643200/1722729600

https://backpack.tf/item/13131872772

Untraceable

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199216156983#!/compare/1722902400/1723075200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1722988800/1723075200

https://backpack.tf/item/13131872772

Bulk for keys

#13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068416876#!/compare/1721606400/1721692800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117650169#!/compare/1721606400/1721692800

https://backpack.tf/item/12592830096

Most likely a tradeback/traded between friends, given the history

#14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1715904000/1715990400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199494031501#!/compare/1715904000/1716336000

https://backpack.tf/item/12380616724

Untraceable

#15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199494031501#!/compare/1716336000/1716681600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1716336000/1716422400

https://backpack.tf/item/12380616724

Untraceable

#16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1716854400/1716940800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198339468917#!/compare/1716854400/1716940800

https://backpack.tf/item/12380616724

Untraceable

#17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198339468917#!/compare/1716854400/1716940800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198211720513#!/compare/1716768000/1716940800

https://backpack.tf/item/12380616724

Untraceable

#18 & 19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165122780#!/compare/1715817600/1715904000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342722151#!/compare/1715731200/1715904000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165122780#!/compare/1715904000/1715990400

https://backpack.tf/item/12327636654

Bulk for Frostbite Whoopee, then traded back for an unknown amount?

#20

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050097681#!/compare/1719705600/1721952000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1721520000/1721692800

https://backpack.tf/item/12240585661

Gambled, as was the rest of the history.

#21

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199182608928#!/compare/1717718400/1717977600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1717632000/1717718400

https://backpack.tf/item/12201331047

Untraceable

#22

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1720224000/1720310400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198499162018#!/compare/1720224000/1720310400

https://backpack.tf/item/12197281359

Untraceable

#23

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199376098763#!/compare/1719705600/1720483200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1720310400/1720396800

https://backpack.tf/item/12182293028

Untraceable. This sale follows the sale at 15 keys.

#24

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140307206#!/compare/1723161600/1723420800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1723075200/1723161600

https://backpack.tf/item/12182293028

Untraceable/Bulk

https://backpack.tf/item/13158945544 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/12352544974 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/12207195554 - mannco

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31310;5;u266

$29.6, July 15th

This will exceed sellers, excluding this sale.

Sellers:

https://imgur.com/a/yNyKgFg

https://backpack.tf/item/12592830096 - 13 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/12222085731 - 15 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/12182293028 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/14658663077 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/13567663084 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/13158945544 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/12201331047 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/12186909207 - marketplace

Sales at:

10

12 (3x)

13 (2x)

14 (2x)

15

10 is a low outlier, countered by higher buyers. Excluding 10.

15 re-sold to a bot, making it an invalid purchase. I also would’ve excluded it due to current sellers. Excluding 15.

Despite many buyers at 12 keys, we have enough purchases at 12 keys to justify keeping it in the range.

There is a seller at 13 keys that has been there for about 3 weeks, but that isn’t enough to warrant removing 14 from the range, especially with both sales at 14 being pure sales.

Taking 12-14.