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(Amended suggestion with proper minis. Shoutout to Explocivo808 for helping me with this!)
Traded July 30th: https://backpack.tf/item/11387615246
Personally bought for a non-strange BF Thousand Yard(235) + $280 via PayPal(280/1.5 = ~186) = 421
Total trade value was 421, but because the B/O was listed at 400, I am suggesting 400.
https://ibb.co/gtjvBBs (Buyout listing: 19288 / 48.22 = 400)
https://ibb.co/MPXmM4F (Proof of Item trade)
https://ibb.co/SwLGZ05 (Proof of money transaction)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Minis for Non-Strange Burning Flames Thousand Yard Stare
Mini 1: https://backpack.tf/item/10481344218
Personally bought for: 190k + Goldstruck Field Practice(45) = 235
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071200441#!/compare/1721433600/1721520000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091405345#!/compare/1721433600/1721520000
https://ibb.co/bjtnH0g (Proof of Trade)
Other 2 Sales within last 3 months are untraceable.
Mini 2: https://backpack.tf/item/10713205958
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043444428#!/compare/1717286400/1717372800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027995926#!/compare/1716076800/1717372800
Mini 3: https://backpack.tf/item/13005354169 (300?)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043444428#!/compare/1716681600/1716768000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198362942706#!/compare/1715040000/1717286400
https://ibb.co/jkckfkL (Flater's verbal confirmation on 300 sale, but couldn't provide trade screenshot)
With no other usable/traceable sales I've gone with the 235.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mini for Keys on July 30th:
Buyer at 1.43
https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/80319-%F0%9F%92%B2covering-all-fees-%F0%9F%92%B8buying-fullpartial-tf2cs-backpacks-items%F0%9F%8E%92with-cash-paypalbank-transferwise-all-currenciescountries-availableupietransfercad-bank-transfer-or-keys-buying-%F0%9F%94%91keys-for-160-usd208-cad-180-cash-trust/
Trust: https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198043858325
Buyer at 1.46
https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/68510-buying-keys-for-150-backpacks-via-paypal-700-trust-ratings%E2%9C%85/
Trust: https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198032176942
Buyer at 1.51
https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/78488-%F0%9F%97%9D%EF%B8%8Fbuying-keys-for-162-paypal-155-for-crypto-and-tods-for-068-%E2%9C%85-100-trust/
Trust: https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198306145097
Buyer at 1.56
https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/84762-%F0%9F%94%A5tony-buying-backpacks-and-keys%F0%9F%94%91160-for-paypal-%F0%9F%92%B0i-can-also-use-crypto%C2%A025-%F0%9D%90%93%F0%9D%90%91%F0%9D%90%94%F0%9D%90%92%F0%9D%90%93-%F0%9D%90%91%F0%9D%90%80%F0%9D%90%93%F0%9D%90%88%F0%9D%90%8D%F0%9D%90%86-%E2%9C%85/
Trust: https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198215879363
Buyer at 1.49
https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/82445-%F0%9D%90%81%F0%9D%90%AE%F0%9D%90%B2%F0%9D%90%A2%F0%9D%90%A7%F0%9D%90%A0-%F0%9D%90%A4%F0%9D%90%9E%F0%9D%90%B2%F0%9D%90%AC-%F0%9D%90%9F%F0%9D%90%A8%F0%9D%90%AB-%F0%9D%9F%8F62-%F0%9D%90%AD%F0%9D%90%A1%F0%9D%90%AB%F0%9D%90%A8%F0%9D%90%AE%F0%9D%90%A0%F0%9D%90%A1-%F0%9D%90%8F%F0%9D%90%9A%F0%9D%90%B2%F0%9D%90%8F%F0%9D%90%9A%F0%9D%90%A5-100-trust-ratings%E2%9C%85/
Trust: https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198006544512
Buyer at 1.47
https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/84136-%F0%9F%9F%A2-safety-first-50-trusts-%F0%9F%92%AF-fiky-is-buying-tf2-keys-for-162-backpacksitems-todts-mshs-paypal-%F0%9F%92%B8%F0%9F%92%9C/
Trust: https://backpack.tf/trust/76561199041022874
Price Points: 1.43, 1.46, 1.47, 1.49, 1.51, 1.56
Excluding 1.43 for lack of sales and including 1.56 for a healthy amount, I think a range of 1.46-1.56 is acceptable, using a median of 1.50.
I did end up getting a trade screenshot from Flater, confirming the 3rd Mini for 299. https://ibb.co/Wn9325d
Though I don't think this impacts my initial suggestion seeing as the used lower 235 value still exceeds the B/O limit of 400.