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First of all, I would like to start this discussion with this: Yes, I in fact own this unusual, but I'm here to add sensible context and information why this deserves a price increase.
1: Bots quick-buying it for a stupidly low amount.
I mean, they're comparing a vivid plasma effect to a massed flies effect, this is what annoyed me the most.
https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Bombing%20Run/Tradable/Craftable/12
https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Bombing%20Run/Tradable/Craftable/16
in fact, the bots are paying more for the massed flies effect than the vivid plasma effect, it just feels stupid in my opinion.
2: STN trading's price.
STN trading is sometimes known for paying way less than the price it usually gets bought for, but here they'll buy it from you for 14 keys. Thats what gave me the idea of it deserving a price change.
https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Vivid+Plasma+Bombing+Run
3: Unusual's price didn't update for a very long period of time.
The key prices were less inflated 5 years ago, so thats why it needs an update in my opinion.
4: The sales (most important)
I would check for the sales, but it requires premium to get ownership information. I don't have anything to donate at the moment.
https://backpack.tf/premium/search?item=Bombing%20Run&quality=5&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&particle=16&killstreak_tier=0
yep, people are gonna cook me isnt it
2 recent sales showing on glad:
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Vivid%20Plasma%20Bombing%20Run&at=2024-08-26T16:39:11.539Z
Item 1:
https://backpack.tf/item/14738092724
only sale at 14 keys .22 ref. tracking from glad.
Item 2:
https://backpack.tf/item/1921187862
all sales <3 months old are potentially valid evidence.
first glance, your price won't hold since you supported it with zero actual sales (the only thing that really matters for suggestions)
Since you said you would check the sales, the both histories above are the only active ones showing on bp, so feel free to go through them and resuggest this with actual sales to support your price.
You could also probs ask the discord for help, there is a channel for price suggestion help in there.