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~280 keys
bewitching bugs
Unusual Bomber Knight Bewitching Bugs
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Comments

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/14714535628


I can't trace the TF2Shop sale... (Looks like it might've been SCM tho?)


Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199035822252#!/compare/1722211200/1722297600

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Bomber%20Knight

$417.54 / $2.17 = ~192 keys (Jul 30)


Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199035822252#!/compare/1724112000/1724198400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199065060129#!/compare/1724112000/1724198400

https://imgur.com/a/36D3jni

Sold for $600 on Aug 21

=============================================================

Mini for a key price on Aug 21:


https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/72542-buying-keys-166-paypal-limited-batch-1006910700-filled/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198267189538

$1.60


https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/85451-%F0%9F%92%B0buying-keys-for-16-and-backpacks-for-paypal-revolut-twint-%E2%9C%85/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198054945991

$1.60


https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/76871-buying-keys-155-each-buying-backpacks-ref-tools-all-items-paypal-250-trust/page/2/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198031258757

$1.55


https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/80055-buying-tf2-keys-for-164-usd-165-if-1000-via-paypal-backpacks-and-golden-pan-for-5600-australia-60-trust/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198117597416

Probably $1.56?


https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/84977-%F0%9F%97%9D%EF%B8%8F-%F0%9D%97%95%F0%9D%97%BF%F0%9D%97%BC%F0%9D%97%BA-%F0%9D%97%B6%F0%9D%98%80-%F0%9D%97%95%F0%9D%98%82%F0%9D%98%86%F0%9D%97%B6%F0%9D%97%BB%F0%9D%97%B4-%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%B2%F0%9D%98%86%F0%9D%98%80-%F0%9D%97%B3%F0%9D%97%BC%F0%9D%97%BF-%F0%9D%9F%AD%F0%9D%9F%B2%F0%9D%9F%B5-%F0%9D%97%A3%F0%9D%97%AE%F0%9D%98%86%F0%9D%97%BD%F0%9D%97%AE%F0%9D%97%B9-%F0%9D%9F%AD%F0%9D%9F%B2-%F0%9D%97%96%F0%9D%97%BF%F0%9D%98%86%F0%9D%97%BD%F0%9D%98%81%F0%9D%97%BC-%F0%9D%97%B0%F0%9D%97%BC%F0%9D%98%83%F0%9D%97%B2%F0%9D%97%BF%F0%9D%97%B6%F0%9D%97%BB%F0%9D%97%B4-%F0%9D%97%B3%F0%9D%97%B2%F0%9D%97%B2%F0%9D%98%80-%E2%9C%85/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198169960987

$1.60


https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/78488-%F0%9F%97%9D%EF%B8%8Fbuying-keys-for-166-paypal-153-for-crypto-and-tods-for-068-%E2%9C%85-100-trust/page/2/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198306145097

$1.51


(1.60 + 1.60 + 1.55 + 1.56 + 1.60 + 1.51) / 6 = $1.57

=============================================================

$600.00 / $1.57 = ~382 keys (Aug 21)


Total Sales

192, 382

https://imgur.com/a/4eSpZnc

Rounding and taking 190 - 380 keys c:


Ah yes, the barely acceptable range

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199065060129#!/compare/1726617600/1726704000

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099521803#!/compare/1726617600/1726704000 - bulk


    also key prices seem off.

    first url indicates they were paying $1.66 at the time

    4th says $1.64 - $1.65

    last says $1.66

    regardless though the ones below $1.60 seem low at the time especially $1.51.

    also, why not include any sellers rather than just buyers?

      I just went through the first two pages, and I don't think I found any sellers for sure when I cross checked with bp trusts or comments. Am I reading the key price wrong by going with the prior title change closest to the relevant date (Since I made this sugg like a few wks after the pp sale iirc)? (https://imgur.com/a/abuFJIQ)

        there's also an option you can select on a post that doesn't show the updated title in the comments so i wouldn't rely on that

          Fair, should be revised now then with the updated key values then