Sale 1:

Most likely sold for 20 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199202110112#!/compare/1722470400/1722556800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1722470400/1722556800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Searing%20Plasma%20Nightcap&at=2024-08-30T13:57:37.738Z - labelled as 20 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14541740240

Not much to go off of here unless we wanted to manually count keys on the buyer's end. Looking to get a screenshot from Erik once he’s available. I’ll still continue with this suggestion, as this sale is likely to be excluded anyways.

= 20 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 18 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1721347200/1721433600 - Near ID: 14692721870

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055673452#!/compare/1720569600/1722470400

https://backpack.tf/item/14439488676

= 18 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199104559253#!/compare/1718582400/1718668800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199202110112#!/compare/1718582400/1718668800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Searing%20Plasma%20Nightcap&at=2024-08-30T13:57:37.738Z - labelled as 14 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14545746696

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125378542#!/compare/1717891200/1718496000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199202110112#!/compare/1717804800/1717891200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Searing%20Plasma%20Nightcap&at=2024-08-30T13:57:37.738Z - labelled as 14 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14541740240

Untraceable

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198283537708#!/compare/1717372800/1720569600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199202110112#!/compare/1717804800/1717891200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Searing%20Plasma%20Nightcap&at=2024-08-30T13:57:37.738Z - labelled as 14 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14472707582

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164814063#!/compare/1717545600/1717632000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208582767#!/compare/1717459200/1717632000

https://backpack.tf/item/14460677350

Bulk for Bone Zone Patriot Peak

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208582767#!/compare/1722643200/1722729600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1722643200/1722729600

https://backpack.tf/item/14460677350

Untraceable, bulk for keys

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199095109913#!/compare/1719273600/1719446400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199523405376#!/compare/1719360000/1719446400

https://backpack.tf/item/14439488676

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199523405376#!/compare/1719360000/1719446400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198360689424#!/compare/1720137600/1720224000

https://backpack.tf/item/14439488676

Untraceable

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198360689424#!/compare/1720137600/1720224000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1720137600/1720224000

https://backpack.tf/item/14439488676

8 keys + negligible metal match

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198898142735#!/compare/1723766400/1723939200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117945210#!/compare/1723852800/1724025600

https://backpack.tf/item/14219948699

Sold with Distress Signal Crypt Keeper for Dragonflies’ Lucent Hot Wheeler

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117945210#!/compare/1723852800/1724025600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199202110112#!/compare/1723939200/1724025600

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Searing%20Plasma%20Nightcap&at=2024-08-30T13:57:37.738Z - labelled as 14 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14219948699

Untraceable

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/E7f5kjP.png

https://backpack.tf/item/14545746696 - 20 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14541740240 - marketplace

https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Searing+Plasma+Nightcap - ~18 keys

https://i.imgur.com/veUcTXQ.png

https://backpack.tf/item/14460677350

Sales at:

18

Potentially 20

We also have a lot of sales at 14 according to STN. Given the abundance of these sales, despite them not being traceable, it should be fine to use them in the range.

Seller at 18 keys, has been there for nearly a month. I’ll exclude 20 for now, but I may need to add it back in if the seller goes.

Taking 14-18.