Sale 1:

Sold for Burning Pom-Pommed Provocateur (Suggestion at 78.5) + Horsemann’s Hack Warhood (Suggestion at 47) + 5 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164814063#!/compare/1717545600/1717632000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198378941490#!/compare/1717545600/1717632000

https://backpack.tf/item/13668937874

= 131 keys

Sale 2:

Sold with Aces High Coldsnap Cap (Mini at 21.5 below) + ~1 key in items for Kill-a-Watt War Pig (34) + Mystical Medley Sky High Fly Guy (Suggestion at 44) + Memory Leak Hustler’s Hallmark (Suggestion at 68)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198378941490#!/compare/1717891200/1717977600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198840987606#!/compare/1717891200/1717977600

https://backpack.tf/item/13668937874

= 124 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for Strange Steaming Highway Star (Suggestion at 19) + Strange Circling Heart Pure Tin Capotain (38) + Searing Nightcap (Suggestion at 16) + Double-spelled Cold Killer (Mini at 24 below) + PP Rump-o’Lantern (Mini at 5 below)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208582767#!/compare/1717459200/1717632000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164814063#!/compare/1717545600/1717632000

https://backpack.tf/item/13668937874

= 102 keys

Minis:

Burning Provocateur:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/66d26241f4d7b63bb00ccd24

Suggestion at 75-82, taking 78.5.

Horsemann’s Hack Warhood:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/66d2662cb4116315600d38db

Suggestion at 47, taking 47 flat.

Mystical Medley Sky High Fly Guy:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/66d26ee4ddcb5977860788e6

Suggestion at 44, taking 44 flat.

Memory Leak Hustler’s Hallmark:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/66d26c382a194c2b580a3803

Suggestion at 68, taking 68 flat.

Double-spelled Cold Killer:

Sold for 24 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198797894380#!/compare/1717113600/1717200000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244723858#!/compare/1717113600/1717200000

https://backpack.tf/item/2305998899

Immediately sold again for cheap unusual taunts. Would be quite a lot lower, but I think this should suffice as a mini.

= 24 keys

—----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PP Rump:

Sold for 5 keys (buyer’s end)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208582767#!/compare/1720915200/1721001600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205495068#!/compare/1721001600/1721088000

https://backpack.tf/item/1924236985

= 24 keys

—----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Aces High Coldsnap Cap:

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30542;5;u59

$44.99, June 12th, July 23rd, & Aug 25th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.65, June 12th

$1.7, July 23rd

$1.84, Aug 25th

44.99/1.65 = 27.267

44.99/1.7 = 26.465

44.99/1.84 =24.451

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199327594867#!/compare/1717286400/1723766400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1718496000/1718582400

https://backpack.tf/item/14383219641

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199124979983#!/compare/1717545600/1717632000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198378941490#!/compare/1717459200/1717545600

https://backpack.tf/item/10799324851

Untraceable

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198840987606#!/compare/1717977600/1718064000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1717977600/1718064000

https://backpack.tf/item/10799324851

Bulk, probably for keys

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1719792000/1719878400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116512732#!/compare/1719619200/1719878400

https://backpack.tf/item/10799324851

Untraceable

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116512732#!/compare/1721520000/1721692800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198354094409#!/compare/1721001600/1723939200

https://backpack.tf/item/10799324851

Sold for 14 keys

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107195724#!/compare/1716336000/1721779200 - won’t update for me

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199192088525#!/compare/1723593600/1723852800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Aces%20High%20Coldsnap%20Cap&at=2024-08-31T00:49:36.088Z - labelled as 16 keys + negligible metal

https://backpack.tf/item/7955644198

https://backpack.tf/item/12244683324 - marketplace

Given the fact that we are relying on marketplace sales, and there have been sales to and from STN that obviously would’ve been significantly lower than the marketplace sales, I’m going to include 16 in the range for the sake of this mini not being too high.

Taking 16-27 (21.5)

—----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30743;5;u304

$204.11, June 29th

https://backpack.tf/item/13668937874 - most likely this one

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were $1.67 on June 29th

204.11/1.67 = 122.222, rounds to 122 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198840987606#!/compare/1717891200/1717977600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134105703#!/compare/1717804800/1717977600

https://backpack.tf/item/13668937874

Bulk-ish for Morning Glory Front Runner, using there

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/zkrZYiX.png

https://backpack.tf/item/13754005171 - 175 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13706310255 - 200 keys

Sales at:

102

122 (marketplace)

124

131

Rounding 102 down to 100, and 131 down to 130. I am considering dropping 100 from the range though, given the dodgy mini on the Cold Killer. Will keep it in for now.

Taking 100-130.