Attempt number 2

Last time on Gladiator.tf https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Half-Zatoichi&at=2024-08-30T14:43:40.220Z

Sold - Past 30 days:

1 @ 5 keys 7.11 ref

1 @ 5 keys

1 @ 4 keys 52.22 ref

1 @ 4 keys 46.55 ref

1 @ 4 keys 46.22 ref

1 @ 4 keys 46 ref

2 @ 4 keys 45.88 ref

1 @ 4 keys 45.83 ref

1 @ 4 keys 45.66 ref

1 @ 4 keys 45.27 ref

1 @ 4 keys 42.66 ref

1 @ 4 keys 40.5 ref

1 @ 4 keys 40.38 ref

1 @ 4 keys 40.33 ref

1 @ 4 keys 40.27 ref

1 @ 4 keys 40.22 ref

1 @ 4 keys 40 ref

1 @ 4 keys 39.77 ref

3 @ 4 keys 39.66 ref

1 @ 4 keys 39.55 ref

2 @ 4 keys 39.5 ref

2 @ 4 keys 39.44 ref

2 @ 4 keys 39.11 ref

2 @ 4 keys 39 ref

1 @ 4 keys 23 ref

1 @ 4 keys 20.88 ref

1 @ 4 keys 20.77 ref

1 @ 4 keys 20.38 ref

1 @ 4 keys 20.27 ref

1 @ 4 keys 20.22 ref

5 @ 4 keys 20.16 ref

Bought- Past 30 days:

2 @ 4 keys 48.77 ref

2 @ 4 keys 42.27 ref

2 @ 4 keys 42.16 ref

2 @ 4 keys 40.27 ref

8 @ 4 keys 39.5 ref

4 @ 4 keys 39.44 ref

2 @ 4 keys 37.44 ref

2 @ 4 keys 36.83 ref

2 @ 4 keys 33.05 ref

4 @ 4 keys 32.94 ref

2 @ 4 keys 32.83 ref

2 @ 4 keys 30.44 ref

2 @ 4 keys 29.55 ref

2 @ 4 keys 28.11 ref

2 @ 4 keys 27.33 ref

2 @ 4 keys 24.66 ref

2 @ 4 keys 23.05 ref

4 @ 4 keys 23 ref

2 @ 4 keys 22.88 ref

2 @ 4 keys 20.77 ref

2 @ 4 keys 20.66 ref

4 @ 4 keys 20.55 ref

2 @ 4 keys 20.27 ref

2 @ 4 keys 19.94 ref

2 @ 4 keys 19.83 ref

6 @ 4 keys 19.77 ref

8 @ 4 keys 18 ref

2 @ 4 keys 17.88 ref

2 @ 4 keys 15.33 ref

2 @ 4 keys 15.22 ref

2 @ 4 keys 14.33 ref

2 @ 4 keys 14.22 ref

2 @ 4 keys 13.44 ref

2 @ 4 keys 12.44 ref

2 @ 4 keys 10 ref

2 @ 4 keys 9.61 ref

2 @ 4 keys 4.27 ref

2 @ 4 keys 4.11 ref

2 @ 3 keys 51.16 ref

2 @ 3 keys 26.55 ref

2 @ 2 keys 23 ref

The problem with using 30 day sales - they don't reflect the recent changes in the dynamic market (outliers on the lower end, most likely older sales), driving the mean down, which conflicts with current buyers at 4.55 keys (see previous suggestion attempt)

If we emphasise on 7 day sales, we get a clearer picture:

Sold - Past 7 days:

1 @ 4 keys 46.55 ref

1 @ 4 keys 40.5 ref

1 @ 4 keys 40.38 ref

1 @ 4 keys 40.27 ref

1 @ 4 keys 40.22 ref

1 @ 4 keys 39.77 ref

3 @ 4 keys 39.66 ref

2 @ 4 keys 39.11 ref

2 @ 4 keys 39 ref

Bought - Past 7 days

Past 7 days

1 @ 4 keys 48.77 ref

1 @ 4 keys 40.27 ref

2 @ 4 keys 39.44 ref

1 @ 4 keys 30.44 ref

1 @ 4 keys 29.55 ref

1 @ 4 keys 28.11 ref

1 @ 4 keys 27.33 ref

Deriving the range from the sales histogram, which shows a clear trend on 4.5 low end, 4.7 high end.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1HHji5OrqxlLxaLh8xoLFB58QSNtvTgZeUcMY8LmxGCE/edit?gid=1975840307#gid=1975840307