Marketplace First

Listings: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/150;5;u62

Keys: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

Sale 1.

June 9th

179.99 USD

Keys 1.65 USD

179.99/1.65 = 109.08 keys

Rounding to 109 keys

Sale 2.

July 10th

179.99 USD

Keys 1.69 USD

179.99/1.69 = 106.5 keys

Rounding to 106

Item 1.

History: https://backpack.tf/item/13086056689

Sale 3.

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199202139954#!/compare/1717459200/1717545600

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202592232#!/compare/1717459200/1717545600

None of the 65 keys leaving the buyers side don't look like they go into the sellers inv and history's don't show the seller However they all got dumped to this Bot: https://backpack.tf/u/76561198349848918

My guess they sold the hat and then bought something from the bot

gonna mark this as untrace

Sale 4.

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199118546232#!/compare/1721174400/1721260800

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199202139954#!/compare/1721260800/1721520000

92 keys

Item 2.

History: https://backpack.tf/item/7137450885

Sale 4.

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198814484691#!/compare/1723075200/1723248000

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063488149#!/compare/1723161600/1723248000

Not all the keys leaving buyers share a history with the seller and the 26 on sellers side match

Probably bought stuff with those keys before backpack could archive there inv

26 keys are known, just gonna leave this one out for now

Sale 5.

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1723680000/1723852800

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198814484691#!/compare/1723766400/1723852800

40 keys 9.11 ref (40.15 keys) on sellers side

probably missing more of the trade

Untrace

no more movements

Current listings: https://imgur.com/a/CzYfjxH

Sellers at 100 keys with 1 listed for 1 month

2 buyers at 95 keys for spells

67.35 keys standard buyorders

1 seller listed for 1 month so I'm gonna ignore the mp sales for being to high

Only real usable sale at 92 keys

Taking 92 flat

Thanks to Jame for this one (you should watch his medic guide I learned a lot from it)

Feedback is welcomed