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~37.5 keys
stormy
Unusual Undercover Brolly Stormy Storm
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https://backpack.tf/item/12748157337 - 1 Sale


Sold for 30 Keys:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1718064000/1718150400 (seller, untrace)


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198431380001#!/compare/1718150400/1718496000 (buyer)


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https://backpack.tf/item/13103779218 - 1 Sale


Sold for 23 Keys:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/66d9711eec3f2179ee0c6e61 (see comment)


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https://backpack.tf/item/12002992886 - Untrace into 1 sale


Sold for 26 Keys:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198378941490#!/compare/1718928000/1719014400 (seller, Near ID 14608872811)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037170179#!/compare/1718928000/1719100800 (buyer, untrace)


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https://backpack.tf/item/12025129051 - 1 Sale


Sold for 25 Keys + Nuts n Bolts Twisted Topper (10.6) = ~36 Keys:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049080295#!/compare/1723680000/1723766400 (seller, Near ID 14796466831)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067258554#!/compare/1723680000/1723766400 (buyer, untrace)


Topper:

Sold for $23.7 on the Steam Market on August 25:

https://imgur.com/5j8teji


Keys were around $2.24, making this sale roughly 10.6 Keys:

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key


Although that's around the value of generic buy orders, STN is selling for 11.34, so 10.6 is probably pretty accurate ( https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Nuts+n%27+Bolts+Twisted+Topper )


Sales at 23, 26, 30, 36 (most recent sale). Taking 23-36

    Wouldn't it be more logical to round this to 30? Seems like an extreme range to me for such a cheap unusual.

      Heya hex honestly the range is fine doesn't necessarily counter since there are 2 sales 23 and 26 and then there are 3 sales at 30-36 range. I think this range is fine imo.

        Not what I am saying, the average of the now five sales mentioned is 29,6 (23, 26, 30, 33 and 36) so instead of having such a massive range which will undoubtably cause discussions when the item is traded, why not simply put 30.

          Like hex it's better to have a range covering all the sales.


          Here is an example from one of my own suggestions 2 years ago for the Smoking Pencil Pusher at 156 keys- https://next.backpack.tf/suggestions/62cf7a865e6c284efa06ea54


          As quoted by Xergoyf: Sale 1 isn't usable, there is no mini (recent sales) for the Slick Cut. Taking classifieds sellers doesn't work, and is why the sale looks like such a high outlier (as sellers can list for whatever high price they want)


          New sales:


          https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/605;5;u35


          300 / 1.95 = ~154


          200 / 1.94 = ~103


          Sales at:


          103


          130


          154


          156


          I think a full range of 105 - 155 (rounded) would work the best here. Given the 130 seller 155 might be a tad high and 105 a tad low due to buyers, but I think the average is about right. 130 flat is another workable option but I slightly prefer the range to it as it excludes less sales.

    Sold mine for 33 Keys in under day: https://imgur.com/a/TCBobIM