Suggestion: Frosty Flavours Wanderer's Wool at 24–30 keys

14 keys match, some would’ve gone towards the Kritzkrieg or something. Couldn’t find the spare keys in the Kritzkrieg’s previous owner’s compare link.

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1724198400/1724284800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118867576#!/compare/1723939200/1724284800

https://backpack.tf/item/13995414758

Untraceable

#13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118867576#!/compare/1724371200/1724716800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021385566#!/compare/1720137600/1724371200

https://backpack.tf/item/13995414758

Untraceable

#14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053318153#!/compare/1725840000/1725926400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051159272#!/compare/1725753600/1725926400

https://backpack.tf/item/13951885985

Bulk for Scorching Flames Detective

#15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342757579#!/compare/1722816000/1722902400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1722729600/1722816000

https://backpack.tf/item/13917542011

40 keys match, but there’s no way quicksell.store paid 40 for this thing alone.

#16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1723161600/1723248000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035099881#!/compare/1722988800/1723248000

https://backpack.tf/item/13917542011

Untraceable

#17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161130473#!/compare/1719360000/1719446400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165879734#!/compare/1719100800/1719446400

https://backpack.tf/item/13916201275

Bulk-ish for Terror-Watt Shellmet

#18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165879734#!/compare/1719446400/1719532800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261483133#!/compare/1719446400/1719532800

https://backpack.tf/item/13916201275

Bulk for Circling Heart Patriot Peak

#19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261483133#!/compare/1720224000/1720310400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199215689154#!/compare/1718323200/1720310400

https://backpack.tf/item/13916201275

Most likely was the Marketplace sale on July 7th.

#20

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104326821#!/compare/1721174400/1721347200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1721260800/1721347200

https://backpack.tf/item/13906656961

Bulk-ish for keys

#21

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1721433600/1721520000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072926467#!/compare/1721433600/1721520000

https://backpack.tf/item/13906656961

Untraceable, 3 keys match

#22

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199040193653#!/compare/1723334400/1723507200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199742551901#!/compare/1723334400/1723420800

https://backpack.tf/item/13893245977

Sold for Cool Field Tested Gift Wrapped War Paint + 1 key. Abundance of sales here, would be better to price the War Paint with this sale.

#23

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072825549#!/compare/1725321600/1725408000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261751118#!/compare/1725235200/1725321600

https://backpack.tf/item/13893245977

Sold for 10 keys + Teamwork Valorance Second Rate Sorcery + other cheap items

No sales on the taunt.

#24

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261751118#!/compare/1725321600/1725408000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1725321600/1725408000

https://backpack.tf/item/13893245977

Bulk for Dead Presidents Cat’s Pajamas

#25

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841365001#!/compare/1724716800/1724803200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220052159#!/compare/1724716800/1724803200

https://backpack.tf/item/13886512916

Untraceable, probably shouldn’t be using this seller’s sales anyways

#26

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220052159#!/compare/1724716800/1724803200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1724716800/1724803200

https://backpack.tf/item/13886512916

Untraceable

#27

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198977721610#!/compare/1725408000/1725494400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1725408000/1725494400

https://backpack.tf/item/13886512916

Bulk for keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13995074512 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/13907542191 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/13894203719 - marketplace

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31419;5;u315

$67.99, June 15th, July 7th, & August 11th

$73.99, August 15th

$69.99, September 3rd

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.65, June 15th

$1.69, July 7th

$1.80, August 11th

$1.81, August 15th

$1.88, September 3rd

67.99/1.65 = 41.206, rounds to 41

67.99/1.69 = 40.231, rounds to 40

67.99/1.8 = 37.772, rounds to 38

73.99/1.81 = 40.878, rounds to 41

69.99/1.88 = 37.229, rounds to 37

= 37 keys

= 38 keys

= 40 keys

= 41 keys (2x)

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/wpxDIo8.png

https://backpack.tf/item/14043842535 - 34 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13951885985 - 34 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13893245977 - 35 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14577302252 - 35 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14565791814 - 35 keys

Sales at:

24 (2x)

25 (2x)

26 (2x)

27 (2x)

29 (2x)

37 (marketplace)

38 (marketplace)

40 (marketplace)

41 (2x, marketplace)

All the marketplace sales are gonna get disregarded, given the cheaper sellers. Excluding 37+.

With the marketplace sales gone, 35 looks like an outlier, supported by 2 slightly cheaper sellers, and 2 other sellers at 35, which are 1 and 2 months old. Excluding 35.

Buyers at ~23.3.

Taking 24-30.