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Sale 1:
Sold for 45 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1722729600/1722816000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056086833#!/compare/1722729600/1722816000
https://backpack.tf/item/10751489718
= 45 keys
Sale 2:
Sold for 44 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050149911#!/compare/1724976000/1725062400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058018712#!/compare/1722902400/1725148800
https://backpack.tf/item/10786455087
= 44 keys
Sale 3:
Sold for 42 keys?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199112522018#!/compare/1723248000/1723334400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199284444167#!/compare/1722297600/1724544000
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Viridescent%20Peeper%20Twisted%20Topper&at=2024-09-12T14:01:38.415Z - labelled as 42
https://backpack.tf/item/11699474190
40 keys match on the buyer’s end, should be close enough to call it correct.
= 42 keys
Sale 4:
Sold for 42 keys?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258919721#!/compare/1725580800/1725753600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053233141#!/compare/1725235200/1725840000
https://backpack.tf/item/10851099981
Given the keys in the seller’s end come from different accounts, it’s likely they were bought off marketplace or wherever, then used to buy the hat. I’m fairly certain this is 42 keys.
= 42 keys
Sale 5:
Sold for 41 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199039971607#!/compare/1719964800/1720224000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134970233#!/compare/1720051200/1720224000
https://backpack.tf/item/14061015365
= 41 keys
Sale 6:
Sold for Miami Nights Neckwear Headwear (30) + 10 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1718928000/1719014400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198296270648#!/compare/1718928000/1719014400
https://backpack.tf/item/12022472964
It’s almost guaranteed that STN’s B/O was much lower than this, but we’ll have to take this sale without knowing the B/O for now.
= 40 keys
Sale 7:
Sold for 40 keys?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146260252#!/compare/1719532800/1719705600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197972105893#!/compare/1719619200/1719878400
https://backpack.tf/item/10799506150
I mean…I dare you to dispute this, looking at the seller’s end.
= 40 keys
Sale 8:
Sold for 38 keys + negligible metal
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198372388290#!/compare/1722902400/1722988800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198406138209#!/compare/1722902400/1722988800
https://backpack.tf/item/14850897014
= 38 keys
Sale 9:
Sold for 38 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198406138209#!/compare/1723507200/1723593600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198840987606#!/compare/1723507200/1723593600
https://backpack.tf/item/14850897014
= 38 keys
Sale 10:
Sold for 37 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198849726548#!/compare/1717891200/1718150400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199235704407#!/compare/1717804800/1717891200
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Viridescent%20Peeper%20Twisted%20Topper&at=2024-07-05T14:23:20.188Z - confirmed (excluding negligible metal)
https://backpack.tf/item/14576300562
= 37 keys
Marketplace Sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31211;5;u198
$79.95, July 8th & 22nd
$74.95, August 28th, September 8th & 12th
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:
$1.69, July 8th
$1.70, July 22nd
$1.84, August 28th
$1.87, September 8th
$1.88, September 12th
79.95/1.69 = 47.308, rounds to 47
79.95/1.7 = 47.029m rounds to 47
74.95/1.84 = 40.734, rounds to 41
74.95/1.87 = 40.08, rounds to 40
74.95/1.88 = 39.867, rounds to 40
= 40 keys (2x)
= 41 keys
= 47 keys (2x)
Other Sales:
#1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087099341#!/compare/1718755200/1718928000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1718841600/1718928000
https://backpack.tf/item/12022472964
Untraceable
#2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198296270648#!/compare/1720396800/1720483200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1720396800/1720483200
https://backpack.tf/item/12022472964
Untraceable, sold to STN. Follows the Neckwear sale.
#3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1721088000/1721174400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198818278338#!/compare/1721088000/1721174400
https://backpack.tf/item/12022472964
Untraceable
#4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198818278338#!/compare/1721433600/1721520000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1721433600/1721520000
https://backpack.tf/item/12022472964
Untraceable
#5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199284444167#!/compare/1725580800/1725753600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199230179119#!/compare/1725580800/1725926400
https://backpack.tf/item/11699474190
Untraceable, probably gifted to a friend or something
#6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198876698605#!/compare/1725840000/1725926400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197985538782#!/compare/1725840000/1725926400
https://backpack.tf/item/10974594246
Untraceable
#7
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1719014400/1719100800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198221367292#!/compare/1718755200/1719100800
https://backpack.tf/item/10925241075
Untraceable
#8
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1719792000/1719964800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199044912747#!/compare/1721088000/1721865600
https://backpack.tf/item/10866388698
Untraceable
#9
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164814063#!/compare/1718409600/1718496000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146260252#!/compare/1718409600/1718496000
https://backpack.tf/item/10799506150
Bulk for Nebula Head full of Hot Air
#10
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046921699#!/compare/1719446400/1722902400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199193412191#!/compare/1719360000/1719446400
https://backpack.tf/item/10786455087
Untraceable
#11
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046921699#!/compare/1719446400/1722902400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199193412191#!/compare/1719360000/1719446400
https://backpack.tf/item/10786455087
Untraceable, not on Gladiator
#12
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199193412191#!/compare/1722729600/1722816000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050149911#!/compare/1722729600/1722816000
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Viridescent%20Peeper%20Twisted%20Topper&at=2024-09-12T14:01:38.415Z - labelled as 40 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/10786455087
Untraceable, some keys match
#13
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198355092203#!/compare/1718150400/1718323200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125108615#!/compare/1718236800/1718323200
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Viridescent%20Peeper%20Twisted%20Topper&at=2024-06-16T14:21:12.355Z - labelled as 37 keys + negligible metal
https://backpack.tf/item/10751489718
Untraceable
#14
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198866342605#!/compare/1721779200/1721865600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1721779200/1721865600
https://backpack.tf/item/10751489718
Untraceable, gambled prior.
#15
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044306087#!/compare/1720396800/1722124800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199523405376#!/compare/1720310400/1720396800
https://backpack.tf/item/14850897014
Untraceable
#16
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198831628819#!/compare/1722297600/1722384000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389100319#!/compare/1722297600/1722384000
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Viridescent%20Peeper%20Twisted%20Topper - labelled as 32 keys +
https://backpack.tf/item/14850897014
Untraceable, retrieved from bot then gambled afterwards.
#17
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050518375#!/compare/1722816000/1722902400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198326279094#!/compare/1722816000/1722902400
https://backpack.tf/item/14850897014
Untraceable
#18
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198326279094#!/compare/1722902400/1722988800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198372388290#!/compare/1722902400/1722988800
https://backpack.tf/item/14850897014
Untraceable, 11 keys match
#19
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198840987606#!/compare/1724889600/1724976000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199115787417#!/compare/1724889600/1724976000
https://backpack.tf/item/14850897014
Untraceable
#20
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1722902400/1722988800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199204005071#!/compare/1720224000/1722988800
https://backpack.tf/item/12022472964
Sold for Miami Nights Hawaiian Hunter + Fountain of Delight Pool Party
Going to exclude this sale mostly because we have enough pure sales to work with and this sale is likely to lie within the range given the few sales I saw on the Hawaiian Hunter. Additionally, considering this is a sale from STN and not to STN, I feel like more was involved. Given STN values item offers at their buy order prices, this feels pretty low than what they would take.
https://backpack.tf/item/14615228145 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/11647972479 - scrap.tf storage
https://backpack.tf/item/11176481094 - back and forth between 2 accounts, nothing there
https://backpack.tf/item/10892189321 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/10762333900 - mannco
Sellers:
https://i.imgur.com/XZEoB6t.png
https://backpack.tf/item/11817833539 - 46 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/10963287539 - marketplace
Sales at:
37
38 (2x)
40 (3x, 2x marketplace)
41 (2x, 1x marketplace)
42
44
45
47 (2x marketplace)
37 may have gone to a bot, but gladiator suggests there were 5 more buys at 37, making 37 a common trading point that isn’t countered by buyers currently. 37 stays in the range.
Seller at 46, several months old. Excluding 47.
Taking 37-45 keys.