Sale 1:

Sold for 32 keys (Buyer’s end)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1722038400/1722124800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051831054#!/compare/1722038400/1722124800 - first 32 keys starting from the 6th row

https://backpack.tf/item/14517075958

= 32 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 30 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1720310400/1720396800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198319114954#!/compare/1720310400/1720396800

https://backpack.tf/item/11854314164

= 30 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 29 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198799694361#!/compare/1718841600/1718928000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117597416#!/compare/1718841600/1718928000

https://backpack.tf/item/10372671420

= 29 keys

Sale 4:

Sold to a bot for 26 keys + negligible metal?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199522047597#!/compare/1720742400/1720828800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1720742400/1720828800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Flavorsome%20Sunset%20Thousand-Yard%20Stare&at=2024-09-13T05:07:10.381Z - labelled as 26 keys + 40.55 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/11932098532

We see 26 keys + 0.55 ref matching on the seller’s end. Should be fine to assume the missing 40 metal was involved. Doesn’t matter much as this sale’s gonna end up being excluded either way

= 27 keys

Sale 5:

Most likely sold for 27 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198298242445#!/compare/1718668800/1718755200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198799694361#!/compare/1718582400/1718841600

https://backpack.tf/item/10372671420

Buyer’s keys match with the seller’s hat. Seller would’ve bought the hat with the keys.

= 27 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31200;5;u186

$69.99, June 30th, July 24th, August 9th, 19th, & 21st

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.68, June 30th

$1.70, July 24th

$1.80, August 9th

$1.84, August 19th & 21st

69.99/1.68 = 41.661, rounds to 42 keys

69.99/1.7 = 41.171, rounds to 41 keys

69.99/1.8 = 38.883, rounds to 39 keys

69.99/1.84 = 38.038, rounds to 38 keys

= 38 keys

= 39 keys

= 41 keys

= 42 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198320941477#!/compare/1718755200/1718841600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1721347200/1721433600

https://backpack.tf/item/14517075958

Untraceable, missing info in history

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051831054#!/compare/1724630400/1724716800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049884052#!/compare/1724630400/1724716800

https://backpack.tf/item/14517075958

Bulk for Scorching Sergeant’s Drill hat

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130707664#!/compare/1721347200/1722211200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086011812#!/compare/1721347200/1721433600

https://backpack.tf/item/11932098532

Backpack buy or went to alt or something

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1719187200/1719273600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002245914#!/compare/1697414400/1719532800

https://backpack.tf/item/11854314164

Untraceable

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002245914#!/compare/1720310400/1721520000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1720310400/1720396800

https://backpack.tf/item/11854314164

Untraceable

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/EfFHKeF.png

https://backpack.tf/item/10579062028 - 40 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/11234014672 - 40 keys

Sales at:

27 (2x)

29

30

32

38 (marketplace)

39 (marketplace)

41 (marketplace)

42 (marketplace)

Buyers at ~28.5, excluding 27.

29 is close to buyers, but that isn’t grounds enough to exclude it, especially with a few cheaper sales.

Sellers at 40, excluding 41 and 42.

Taking 29-39.