Requested by bird

Sale 1:

Sold for:

150 keys

Scorching Napper’s Respite (Mini at 160 below)

Refragmenting Reality Bumble Beenie (30)

Strange Factory New Death Deluxe War Paint (Mini at 17.79 below)

Strange Pro. KS Minimal Wear Frost Ornamented Shotgun (Mini at 1.11 below)

Strange Spec. KS Field-Tested Secretly Serviced Pistol (Mini at 1.17 below)

Strange Battle-Scarred Bank Rolled War Paint (Mini at 7.58 below)

2 Strange Field-Tested Merc Stained War Paints (Mini at 0.91 below)

Strange Battle-Scarred Warborn War Paint (Mini at 1.88 below)

Strange Well-Worn Peppermint Swirl War Paint (Mini at 0.54 below)

Strange Wrangler & Reserve Shooter (~0.33)

Spec. KS Jag Kit (Mini at 0.93 below)

Strange Trickster’s Turnout Gear (~12.25, given current sellers/buyers)

Strange Cranial Carcharodon (~1.05)

Googol Glass Eyes (~0.15)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198375006942#!/compare/1724976000/1726358400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147614708#!/compare/1724976000/1726358400

https://backpack.tf/item/14819036374

Trade hold involved, hence the large gap in compare links. Screenshots provided by the buyer

Beenie

Beenie effect

Keys, scorching Napper’s, various cosmetics

Strange weapons/skins/paints

Skin + KS Kit

Rare Shine Cranial

150 + 160 + 30 + 17.79 + 1.11 + 1.17 + 7.58 + 0.91 + 1.88 + 0.54 + 0.33 + 0.93 + 12.25 + 1.05 + 0.15 = 385.69, rounding to 390 keys

= 390 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for $698.78 AUD, September 25th

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Cranial%20Carcharodon

https://i.imgur.com/SFB5OEE.png

Screenshot provided by buyer

https://backpack.tf/item/14887876478

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key

https://i.imgur.com/ULbUo8G.png

Keys were ~$3.20, September 25th

698.78/3.2 = 218.369, rounding to 220

= 220 keys

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Scorching Flames Napper’s Respite:

Sold to a bot for 160 keys + negligible metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198317171754#!/compare/1726185600/1726272000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199674417290#!/compare/1726185600/1726272000

https://backpack.tf/item/320103145

= 160 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066494938#!/compare/1724803200/1726012800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047941849#!/compare/1725840000/1726012800

https://backpack.tf/item/320103145

Untraceable. The Screaming Tiger Mourning Merc’s matches

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047941849#!/compare/1725840000/1726012800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198317171754#!/compare/1725926400/1726012800

https://backpack.tf/item/320103145

Bulk for Poisoned Shadows Officer’s Ushanka

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199674417290#!/compare/1726272000/1726358400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141187659#!/compare/1726272000/1726358400

https://backpack.tf/item/320103145

Untraceable, 25 keys match

#4 (Duped)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147614708#!/compare/1724976000/1726358400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198375006942#!/compare/1724976000/1726358400

https://backpack.tf/item/276293817

Rare Shine Cranial Carcharodon

#5 (Duped)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198375006942#!/compare/1726358400/1726531200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054270952#!/compare/1726444800/1726531200

https://backpack.tf/item/276293817

Sold with 20 keys for Scorching Gibus

Gibus being updated to 162.5, would bring this much lower than buyers.

With the only two sales falling under current buyers, I’m resorting to using 160 as our mini here.

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Strange Pro. KS Minimal Wear Frost Ornamented Shotgun:

So, there’s quite literally no sales on the thing that I can use. Non KS hasn’t had a sale since December last year. At best, I can take STN’s buy order for non KS:

https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Strange+Frost+Ornamented+Shotgun+%28Minimal+Wear%29

https://i.imgur.com/vtjXiFt.png

Taking 1.11 keys

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Strange Spec. KS Field-Tested Secretly Serviced Pistol:

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Specialized%20Killstreak%20Secretly%20Serviced%20Pistol%20%28Field-Tested%29

https://i.imgur.com/iinH6ht.png

$3.68 AUD, May 27th (best i can do)

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key

https://i.imgur.com/p68jlrU.png

Keys were $3.14 AUD

3.68/3.14 = 1.172, taking 1.17 keys

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Strange Battle-Scarred Bank Rolled War Paint:

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Bank%20Rolled%20War%20Paint%20%28Battle%20Scarred%29

https://i.imgur.com/AM87Npp.png

$24.49 AUD, September 21st (4x)

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key

https://i.imgur.com/5iHMrR4.png

Keys were $3.23 AUD at the time

24.49/3.23 = 7.582, taking 7.58 keys

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Strange Field-Tested Merc Stained War Paint:

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Merc%20Stained%20War%20Paint%20%28Field-Tested%29

Taking an arbitrary timeframe I made up, last 2 weeks-ish should work

$3.41, September 29th

$2.58, September 28th

$2.77, September 26th

$2.54, September 19th

$3.54, September 15th

$3.33, September 15th

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key

Keys were:

$3.33, September 15th, 19th, & 29th

$3.25, September 26th

$3.29, September 28th

3.41/3.33 = 1.024

2.58/3.29 = 0.784

2.77/3.25 = 0.852

2.54/3.33 = 0.763

3.54/3.33 = 1.063

3.33/3.33 = 1

Taking 0.763-1.063 (~0.91)

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Strange Battle-Scarred Warborn War Paint:

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Warborn%20War%20Paint%20%28Battle%20Scarred%29

$7.29, September 19th

$5.16, September 27th

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key

Keys were $3.33, September 19th & $3.27, September 27th

7.29/3.33 = 2.189

5.16/3.27 = 1.578

Taking 1.578-2.189 (~1.88)

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Strange Well-Worn Peppermint Swirl War Paint:

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Peppermint%20Swirl%20War%20Paint%20%28Well-Worn%29

Excluded the ones well below current buyers.

$1.90, September 28th

$1.96, September 20th

$1.61, September 17th

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key

Keys were:

$3.29, September 28th

$3.31, September 20th

$3.34, September 17th

1.9/3.29 = 0.578

1.96/3.31 = 0.592

1.61/3.34 = 0.482

Taking 0.482-0.592 (~0.54)

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Spec. KS Jag Kit:

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Specialized%20Killstreak%20Jag%20Kit

Just using the last 6 sales

$3.16, September 29th

$2.66, September 29th

$3.03, September 27th

$4.44, September 27th

$3.43, September 26th

$4.02, September 25th

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key

Keys were:

$3.33, September 29th

$3.27, September 27th

$3.25, September 26th

$3.20, September 25th

3.16/3.33 = 0.949

2.66/3.33 = 0.799

3.03/3.27 = 0.927

4.44/3.27 = 1.358

3.43/3.25 = 1.055

4.02/3.2 = 1.256

https://i.imgur.com/W3XnUdX.png - listings at ~1 key, 1.25+ look like outliers, excluding.

Taking 0.799-1.055 (~0.93)

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Strange Factory New Death Deluxe War Paint:

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Death%20Deluxe%20War%20Paint%20%28Factory%20New%29

Excluding the sales below buy orders

$59.39, August 27th

$58.32, August 25th

$55.02, August 14th

$58.33, August 7th

$49.91, August 4th

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key

Keys were:

$3.23, August 4th & 7th

$3.19, August 14th

$3.24, August 25th & 27th

59.39/3.24 = 18.33

58.32/3.24 = 18

55.02/3.19 = 17.248

58.33/3.23 = 18.059

49.91/3.23 = 15.452

https://i.imgur.com/EXEcTZy.png - buy order at 16, excluding 15.452

Taking 17.248-18.33 (~17.79)

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No current sellers.

Sales at 220 and 390.

390 is rounded from a bit over 385, which works out with the poor mini on the Strange Pro. KS Shotgun skin.

Taking 220-390.