Sale 1:

Sold for Strange Spec. KS Original (Mini at 144 below)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1722470400/1722556800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047862186#!/compare/1722470400/1722556800

https://backpack.tf/item/14182636393

= 144 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 142 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1726099200/1726185600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101419860#!/compare/1725926400/1726185600

https://backpack.tf/item/10860127657

= 142 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for Strange Factory Frozen Aurora War Paint (in-date at 105) + 32 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1722297600/1722384000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284063882#!/compare/1716076800/1722384000

https://backpack.tf/item/11908369374

= 137 keys

Sale 4:

Sold to a bot for 132 keys + at least half a key in metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101419860#!/compare/1726531200/1727049600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1726444800/1726531200

https://backpack.tf/item/10860127657

= 133 keys

Sale 5:

Sold to a bot for 131 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069239963#!/compare/1726012800/1726099200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199193412191#!/compare/1726012800/1726099200

https://backpack.tf/item/7956028777

= 131 keys

Sale 6:

Sold for 130 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199177136435#!/compare/1721692800/1721865600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058855545#!/compare/1721692800/1721865600

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Disco%20Beat%20Down%20Brotherhood%20of%20Arms&at=2024-10-04T08:45:50.224Z - confirmed

https://backpack.tf/item/7957163637

= 130 keys

Sale 7:

Sold to a bot for 130 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198982942274#!/compare/1725235200/1725408000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199124965533#!/compare/1725321600/1725408000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Disco%20Beat%20Down%20Brotherhood%20of%20Arms&at=2024-10-04T08:45:50.224Z - confirmed

https://backpack.tf/item/2214413953

= 130 keys

Sale 8:

Sold for Scorching Coldsnap Cap

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198869261927#!/compare/1725062400/1725235200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198869261927#!/compare/1725062400/1725235200

https://backpack.tf/item/11836924664

Gonna be very high without a B/O to cap at.

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30066;5;u62

$259.99, July 20th & 29th

$222.22, September 3rd

https://backpack.tf/item/8843950973 - July 29th

https://backpack.tf/item/7956028777 - September 3rd

Can’t find the other

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.72, July 20th

$1.74, July 29th

$1.88, September 3rd

259.99/1.72 = 151.157

259.99/1.74 = 149.42

222.22/1.88 = 118.202

Strange Spec. KS Original:

Sold for 144 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1722902400/1722988800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058356352#!/compare/1722902400/1722988800

https://backpack.tf/item/1521676920

102 keys match here

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150534958#!/compare/1722902400/1722988800 - Near ID: 14758146687

https://backpack.tf/item/10760227553

42 more keys went towards the Restless Wraiths Brim of Fire

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101419860#!/compare/1720310400/1720828800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199533735608#!/compare/1720569600/1720828800

https://backpack.tf/item/14182636393

Potentially sold for 102 keys, didn’t count the buyer’s end. Even if it’s correct, it’s well below buy orders.

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199533735608#!/compare/1721174400/1721260800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1721174400/1721260800

https://backpack.tf/item/5444487079

Sold for 100 keys, apparently. 43 went towards the Scorching Airdog

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1721174400/1721260800 - near ID: 14684699966

https://backpack.tf/item/5444487079

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342161127#!/compare/1724630400/1725235200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1725667200/1725753600

https://backpack.tf/item/11836924664

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1725753600/1725840000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198167452586#!/compare/1725753600/1725840000

https://backpack.tf/item/11836924664

Untraceable

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199156887246#!/compare/1725580800/1726444800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1725580800/1725667200

https://backpack.tf/item/10860127657

Untraceable

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210792893#!/compare/1722643200/1727136000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850407517#!/compare/1725235200/1725321600

https://backpack.tf/item/10615321774

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058855545#!/compare/1724112000/1724371200 - private

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111470451#!/compare/1724457600/1724544000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Disco%20Beat%20Down%20Brotherhood%20of%20Arms&at=2024-10-04T08:45:50.224Z - labelled as 123 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7957163637

Untraceable

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1725580800/1725667200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101286685#!/compare/1725580800/1725667200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Disco%20Beat%20Down%20Brotherhood%20of%20Arms&at=2024-10-04T08:45:50.224Z - labelled as 131 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7957163637

About 350 keys match, hard to tell what exactly was involved.

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199523405376#!/compare/1725667200/1725753600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101376092#!/compare/1725580800/1725753600

https://backpack.tf/item/7957163637

Untraceable, probably gambled. Gambled afterwards.

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148983233#!/compare/1726531200/1726617600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1726531200/1726617600

https://backpack.tf/item/7957163637

Untraceable

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1727136000/1727308800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145395178#!/compare/1726876800/1727308800

https://backpack.tf/item/7957163637

Bulk

#12 (spelled)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198301953532#!/compare/1727136000/1727395200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072725528#!/compare/1727308800/1727395200

https://backpack.tf/item/2992161842

Looks like a decent amount of keys

#13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177615870#!/compare/1722988800/1725321600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199284954#!/compare/1725235200/1725321600

https://backpack.tf/item/7956025287

Untraceable

#14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199284954#!/compare/1725235200/1725321600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111292616#!/compare/1725235200/1725321600

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Disco%20Beat%20Down%20Brotherhood%20of%20Arms - labelled as 130 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7956025287

Untraceable

#15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093429540#!/compare/1711065600/1720310400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1720224000/1720310400

https://backpack.tf/item/11908369374

Untraceable

#16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284063882#!/compare/1722556800/1722643200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1722470400/1722556800

https://backpack.tf/item/11908369374

Untraceable

#17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1722556800/1722643200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021697319#!/compare/1722124800/1722643200

https://backpack.tf/item/11908369374

Untraceable, ignoring the tradeback afterwards

#18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021697319#!/compare/1727481600/1727568000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199183171982#!/compare/1727481600/1727568000

https://backpack.tf/item/11908369374

Backpack buy

https://backpack.tf/item/8729519998 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/2245120105 - mannco

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/LDmka7I.png

https://backpack.tf/item/7956028777 - 150 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7957163637 - 150 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/11836924664 - 150 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2214413953 - 155 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/10615321774 - 170 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6877118345 - 170 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2992161842 - 350 keys, spelled

https://backpack.tf/item/1833746127 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/11908369374 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/7956025287 - marketplace

Sales at:

118 (marketplace)

130 (2x)

131

133

137

142

144

149 (marketplace)

151 (marketplace)

I feel that for this situation, we should either keep either end of the marketplace sales, or exclude both. Considering the sale at 118 would’ve occurred at the time bots were buying for ~130, it would be best to exclude that, and given the current marketplace sellers at $259.99 totalling around 137 keys given current conversion rates, we should not be using either of them.

Rounding 144 to 145, 130 will remain the same.

Taking 130-145.