Sale 1:

Sold for Haunted Ghosts Brotherhood of Arms (105) + Max’s Head (~34 at the time)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113190503#!/compare/1724284800/1724371200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198190662538#!/compare/1724284800/1724371200

https://backpack.tf/item/988519632

= 139 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 125 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085888805#!/compare/1720828800/1720915200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199652057998#!/compare/1720828800/1720915200

https://backpack.tf/item/4567670778

= 125 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 120 keys + ~1 key in metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1721520000/1721606400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137566942#!/compare/1721606400/1721692800

https://backpack.tf/item/866102989

= 121 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for 120 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198282849447#!/compare/1722038400/1724716800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198843408761#!/compare/1724630400/1724716800

https://backpack.tf/item/1191340027

= 120 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for 119 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057897812#!/compare/1724284800/1724371200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035609800#!/compare/1724284800/1724371200

https://backpack.tf/item/875114365

= 119 keys

Sale 6:

Sold for 119 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1724976000/1725062400 - Near ID: 14852107268

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198880696674#!/compare/1724976000/1725235200

https://backpack.tf/item/875114365

= 119 keys

Sale 7:

Sold for 103 keys + Blizzardy Storm Jumper’s Jeepcap

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1723075200/1723161600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127403038#!/compare/1719792000/1724025600

https://backpack.tf/item/4567670778

Would rather not use this sale without a B/O cap.

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199652057998#!/compare/1720828800/1720915200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198812192050#!/compare/1721001600/1721088000

https://backpack.tf/item/4567670778

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198812192050#!/compare/1721088000/1721174400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1721001600/1721088000

https://backpack.tf/item/4567670778

Untraceable

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127403038#!/compare/1724371200/1724457600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087099341#!/compare/1724371200/1724457600

https://backpack.tf/item/4567670778

Bulk for Scorching Nuke

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198843408761#!/compare/1728000000/1728086400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062305780#!/compare/1727222400/1728086400

https://backpack.tf/item/1191340027

Bulk for Stormy Storm Polar Pullover

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139627699#!/compare/1721174400/1721260800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041618568#!/compare/1721174400/1721260800

https://backpack.tf/item/988519632

Sold with Strange Festivized Pro. KS Tomislav for Ominous Stare Chill Chullo

Was used on the Chullo, can’t be used here.

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041618568#!/compare/1721606400/1721692800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199718637830#!/compare/1721606400/1721692800

https://backpack.tf/item/988519632

40 keys + Pumpkin Moon Missing Piece match. I’m sure more was involved on the Belt’s side, I’m just not seeing it.

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199718637830#!/compare/1721606400/1721692800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113190503#!/compare/1721606400/1721692800

https://backpack.tf/item/988519632

Bulk for Pumpkin Moon Antarctic Eyewear

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035609800#!/compare/1724544000/1724630400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115312645#!/compare/1724371200/1724630400

https://backpack.tf/item/875114365

Sold for some amount of keys. Didn’t count the ones on the buyer’s end.

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115312645#!/compare/1724889600/1724976000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1724803200/1724889600

https://backpack.tf/item/875114365

Bulk for keys

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198880696674#!/compare/1727481600/1727740800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1727654400/1727740800

https://backpack.tf/item/875114365

Bulk for Tesla Coil Salty Dog

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1728172800/1728259200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1728259200/1728345600

https://backpack.tf/item/875114365

Untraceable/Bulk. Missing info in history.

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1720569600/1720656000 - Near ID: 14661428455

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199652057998#!/compare/1720569600/1720656000

https://backpack.tf/item/866102989

Untraceable, 72 keys match

#13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199083580315#!/compare/1715040000/1721001600 - Compares won’t update

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198812192050#!/compare/1721001600/1721088000

https://backpack.tf/item/866102989

Untraceable/Bulk/Scammed

#14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198812192050#!/compare/1721088000/1721174400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1721001600/1721088000

https://backpack.tf/item/866102989

Untraceable

#15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102931867#!/compare/1721433600/1721606400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198374576348#!/compare/1723161600/1723248000

https://backpack.tf/item/804792160

Untraceable, gambling-related. No marked sale on gladiator.tf

#16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198374576348#!/compare/1723161600/1723248000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198281630040#!/compare/1723161600/1723248000

https://backpack.tf/item/804792160

Most likely gambled

#17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198281630040#!/compare/1723161600/1723248000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131911699#!/compare/1723161600/1723248000

https://backpack.tf/item/804792160

Bulk for Death at Dusk Headsplitter

#18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131911699#!/compare/1727222400/1727395200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198308371114#!/compare/1727308800/1727395200

https://backpack.tf/item/804792160

Untraceable

#19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102931867#!/compare/1723507200/1723680000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044185650#!/compare/1725840000/1725926400

https://backpack.tf/item/765949459

Same situation as #15 most likely.

#20

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044185650#!/compare/1725840000/1725926400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156749406#!/compare/1725753600/1725926400

https://backpack.tf/item/765949459

Untraceable

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/9T7rOzF.png

https://backpack.tf/item/1166471699 - 123 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/4567670778 - 123 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/804792160 - 123 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/1006846670 - 130 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/1191340027 - 130 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/823931162 - 134 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/601761838 - 135 keys

Sales at:

119 (2x)

120

121

125

139

139 is an obvious outlier, especially without a B/O cap. Excluding 139.

3 sellers at 125. Normally I wouldn’t exclude 125 in a situation like this, but that 125 key sale is going to be outdated very soon anyways. Excluding 125.

Taking 119-121.