Suggestion: Knifestorm Ye Olde Baker Boy at 1645 keys

Price Suggestion

~2022.5 keys

knife

57 votes up

8 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Wed, 27 Nov 24 09:37:02 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

3 years

~~Sale #1:~~

https://backpack.tf/item/1235501923

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198401301250#!/compare/1727395200/1727481600 ~ Energy Orb Professional Killstreak Night Terror Scattergun (Field-Tested) ~ 1250 + Genuine Professional Killstreak Three-Rune Blade (9)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199513453937#!/compare/1727395200/1727481600

~~= 1259~~

Sale #2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199513453937#!/compare/1727913600/1728432000 ~ no matches

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198401301250#!/compare/1727827200/1727913600 ~ ?

Sale #3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198401301250#!/compare/1728604800/1728950400 ~ 1244 keys match here

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198440460554#!/compare/1728864000/1728950400 ~ 1676 leave here

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079488962#!/compare/1728604800/1728950400 ~ 31 keys match here for the ballcap.

= 1645.

Sale #1 and #2 were clarified by sz here: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/670e0ccdf44c12be4b0dbe23

"Hi Jay, I just wanted to say that the first trade wasn't actually a sale. They gave me the Eorb Night Terror as collateral when I helped them pay 400 keys for the Collector's Cardigan until they could repay me. I sent it back when they asked me to help broker their Baker Boy. Lastly, I gave them the Three-Rune as I had another with exorcism."

Taking 1645 flat.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TzgTsm2rFGY

Glad you sent the no copyright version.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IK0-wPL-5H0

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198440460554#!/compare/1730764800/1731110400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153496203#!/compare/1731024000/1731110400 - sold for Chromatic Corruption + Headless Horseshoes Max's Severed Head + double spelled fire horns ts Strange Professional Killstreak Rocket Launcher

Mini max head:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170198235#!/compare/1730246400/1730678400 ~ frostbite war pig

Micro pig:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261265788#!/compare/1725926400/1726099200 ~ 866 pure shown but doesnt match

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153496203#!/compare/1723766400/1726185600 ~ buyer side shows close to 30 keys that match, could have bought the keys off ches?

if its 866 it will be a lot lower than sale #3 so I'll try get confirmations and look into other max's.

It included CS: https://i.imgur.com/FCAV84w.png

those will probably need to be looked into as well

the gloves havent sold on SCM since march, how do I mini them?

They also seem to be worth ~1225 keys on their own https://csgoskins.gg/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard if u take the lowest price / 1.8.

+ the max with the war pig sale + the knife bloody hell i dont even know lol, i cant mini the gloves anyway.

https://skinport.com/item/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new - gloves have a few recent sales here

Theres a massive variance in the last 4 sales ($4000, $3131, $3367, $4682) ;'c

should be fine to exclude the older sep 27 sale as it is above the current seller and then just go with a range using the others

So that makes:

$3727 for the Gloves (/ $2.60 https://skinport.com/tf2/item/mann-co-supply-crate-key/52178248 AUD) = 1433 keys

Date Price ($) Quantity Sold Price in Keys

10/09/2024, 11:00:00 679.66 1 199.90

11/09/2024, 11:00:00 678.24 1 199.48

15/09/2024, 11:00:00 647.47 2 190.43

16/09/2024, 11:00:00 720.94 1 212.04

20/09/2024, 11:00:00 565.85 1 166.43

29/09/2024, 11:00:00 723.50 1 212.79

01/10/2024, 11:00:00 580.80 1 170.82

02/10/2024, 11:00:00 578.99 1 170.29

05/10/2024, 11:00:00 678.24 1 199.48

13/10/2024, 12:00:00 686.97 1 202.05

28/10/2024, 04:00:00 664.66 2 195.49

04/11/2024, 08:00:00 687.06 1 202.08

05/11/2024, 13:00:00 703.44 1 206.89

09/11/2024, 18:00:00 701.41 1 206.30

16/11/2024, 14:00:00 704.96 1 207.34

23/11/2024, 05:00:00 680.95 1 200.28

23/11/2024, 21:00:00 691.93 1 203.51

27/11/2024, 00:00:00 597.50 1 175.74

Median Price: $680.30

Lowest Price: $565.85

Highest Price: $723.50

aka 200 keys for the knife https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/730/%E2%98%85%20StatTrak%E2%84%A2%20Classic%20Knife

so thats

1433 + 200 + 866 (max head) + I couldn't find a FH+TS one but a double spelled Flames MG was sold for 65 pure https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177872379#!/compare/1727827200/1727913600 https://backpack.tf/item/1179191441

= 2564

gloves should be a range from $3131 - $4000 = $3565.50

also:

https://i.imgur.com/n13p4Md.png

https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Knifestorm%20Ye%20Olde%20Baker%20Boy/672d18a737963ba22e0a20d7 - baker boy had a b/o of 2400 keys

Okay so $3565.50 / 2.6 = 1371 keys, so it would still cap at 2400, so 1645-2400?

looks like there has been a new sale since:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153496203#!/compare/1732492800/1732579200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198396499936#!/compare/1732492800/1732579200 - looks to have sold with 175 keys + a bunch of stranges (doesn't look like the double spelled boston was involved or it sold for those 175 keys) + Smoking Winter Woodsman for Knifestorm Bomber's Bucket Hat

This is the only sale for the knifestorm bucket hat, shouldn't it be used there?

yep that makes sense

Ok so i'll resugg 1645-2400