Sale 1:

Sold with negligible metal for 13 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1723507200/1723593600 - Near ID: 14788472676

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334502320#!/compare/1723161600/1723593600

https://backpack.tf/item/6676694442

11 keys match on the seller’s end. Through manual searching, I found 2 more keys that match:

https://backpack.tf/item/14788472686

https://backpack.tf/item/14788472682

= 13 keys

Sale 2:

Sold to STN for 12 keys + 37.11 ref (>0.5)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141187659#!/compare/1724976000/1725062400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1724976000/1725062400

https://backpack.tf/item/10117304551

= 13 keys

Sale 3:

Most likely sold for 12 keys + 26 ref (<0.5)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135880720#!/compare/1722470400/1722556800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1722470400/1722556800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Disco%20Beat%20Down%20Archer%27s%20Sterling&at=2024-10-16T02:01:22.842Z - labelled as 12 keys + 26.22 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/10117304551

Buyer doesn’t show up in history. Gladiator’s stats linking to a non-existent history suggests that info is missing from the page, and confirms that this is the trade partner. Taking this as is.

= 12 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30874;5;u62

https://backpack.tf/item/11194004922

$24.99, August 22nd

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were $1.84

24.99/1.84 = 13.582, rounds to 14.

= 14 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1721433600/1721520000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135880720#!/compare/1720137600/1721520000

https://backpack.tf/item/10117304551

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1722470400/1722556800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130707664#!/compare/1722556800/1722643200

https://backpack.tf/item/10117304551

Possibly gambled, or lent to a friend/alt or something.

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086011812#!/compare/1722643200/1722729600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1722643200/1722729600

https://backpack.tf/item/10117304551

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1724112000/1724198400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199523405376#!/compare/1724112000/1724198400

https://backpack.tf/item/10117304551

Untraceable, gambled afterwards.

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198265063369#!/compare/1724889600/1724976000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199500810413#!/compare/1724889600/1724976000

https://backpack.tf/item/10117304551

Untraceable

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1727654400/1727740800 - Near ID: 14963657133

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310704343#!/compare/1727568000/1727740800

https://backpack.tf/item/10117304551

Untraceable, 35 keys match on the seller’s end, most likely conflicting with another trade.

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199527882086#!/compare/1724803200/1724889600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199780578824#!/compare/1728345600/1728345600 - private backpack

https://backpack.tf/item/6352013502

Untraceable, probably scammed

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/KYIHAMC.png

https://backpack.tf/item/11881010263 - 15 keys

Sales at:

12

13 (2x)

14 (marketplace)

12 went to a bot, but is incredibly close to the other sales around that value. Keeping 12 in the range.

Taking 12-14.