Sale 1:

Sold for 38 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1725408000/1725494400 - Near ID: 14873580373

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199516139105#!/compare/1725408000/1725494400

https://backpack.tf/item/14840804928

= 38 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 36 keys (Buyer’s end)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1724976000/1725062400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337982050#!/compare/1725062400/1725148800

https://backpack.tf/item/7956575601

= 36 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 35 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1722211200/1722297600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198945874916#!/compare/1721174400/1722297600

https://backpack.tf/item/1794513768

= 35 keys

Sale 4:

Sold to a bot for 33 keys + negligible metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062747535#!/compare/1728259200/1728345600 - Near ID: 14986335385

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1728172800/1728259200

https://backpack.tf/item/7957011797

= 33 keys

Sale 5:

Sold to a bot for 32 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1725408000/1725494400 - Near ID: 14872727007

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1725408000/1725494400

https://backpack.tf/item/14840804928

= 32 keys

Sale 6:

Sold to a bot for 32 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199225525494#!/compare/1728172800/1728259200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199128620418#!/compare/1728172800/1728259200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Disco%20Beat%20Down%20Bonk%20Helm&at=2024-10-18T11:39:31.456Z - labelled as 33 keys + 2.55 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/7957011797

After manually checking the keys on the buyer’s end, I’ve determined that this didn’t actually sell for 33. Whether it be because the seller missed a key when making the offer or due to them not wanting the excess key and metal I don’t know, but all I know is this was 32 keys.

= 32 keys

Sale 7:

Sold to a bot for 31 keys + 5.11 ref?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099828847#!/compare/1726444800/1726790400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199119484218#!/compare/1726358400/1726444800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Disco%20Beat%20Down%20Bonk%20Helm&at=2024-10-18T11:52:47.132Z - labelled as 31 keys + 5.11 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/14909620871

We see exactly 5.11 ref entering the seller’s backpack. I’m going to mark this as correct.

= 31 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198389817816#!/compare/1724803200/1729209600 - unscanned prior to trade (most likely bought off SCM anyway)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1724803200/1725494400

https://backpack.tf/item/14840804928

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199516139105#!/compare/1725580800/1725667200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1725494400/1725580800

https://backpack.tf/item/14840804928

Sold to STN in bulk. This follows the 38 key sale.

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1725926400/1726012800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199516139105#!/compare/1725926400/1726012800

https://backpack.tf/item/14840804928

Bought back off of STN for some amount of keys

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199516139105#!/compare/1726099200/1726185600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1726099200/1726185600

https://backpack.tf/item/14840804928

aaaaaand sold back to STN in bulk again.

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134456736#!/compare/1725408000/1725840000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199746089874#!/compare/1726272000/1729209600

https://backpack.tf/item/1969848508

Untraceable/Bulk

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199746089874#!/compare/1727136000/1727222400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1727136000/1727222400

https://backpack.tf/item/1969848508

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198945874916#!/compare/1722297600/1722470400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044022159#!/compare/1722384000/1722470400

https://backpack.tf/item/1794513768

Untraceable

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044022159#!/compare/1722556800/1722729600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198965569910#!/compare/1722038400/1722816000

https://backpack.tf/item/1794513768

Untraceable

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199147682930#!/compare/1723075200/1724284800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199235305952#!/compare/1724112000/1724198400

https://backpack.tf/item/7955783846

Untraceable, gambled afterwards.

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199652290612#!/compare/1726358400/1726444800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199652057998#!/compare/1726444800/1726531200

https://backpack.tf/item/7955783846

Untraceable

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199652057998#!/compare/1726444800/1726531200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199192088525#!/compare/1726444800/1726531200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Disco%20Beat%20Down%20Bonk%20Helm&at=2024-10-18T11:52:47.132Z - labelled as 31 keys + 5.11 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/7955783846

Untraceable

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/106;5;u62

$59.99, September 15th

https://backpack.tf/item/7955918286

https://backpack.tf/item/7955708543 one of these, don’t know which

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were $1.89

59.99/1.89 = 31.741, rounds to 32 keys

Sellers:

https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Disco+Beat+Down+Bonk+Helm

https://i.imgur.com/k8mDBC8.png

https://backpack.tf/item/14840804928 - ~34.4 keys

https://i.imgur.com/Dkh61yi.png

https://backpack.tf/item/1969848508 - ~38.2 keys (given current key-to-metal ratios)

https://backpack.tf/item/7955783846 - marketplace

Sales at:

31

32 (3x, 1 marketplace)

33

35

36

38

Quite a lot of sales at and around 32. Going to use 32 as our low-end despite the buy orders at this price. Will exclude 31.

38 re-sold to STN…several times. I wouldn’t normally exclude it solely due to that since we’re also setting the low-end off of buy-order prices, but with STN selling for significantly cheaper, I will exclude it here.

Taking 32-36.