Suggestion: Blizzardy Storm Coffin Kit at 4300 keys

Price Suggestion

~4000 keys

blizz

40 votes up

9 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Tue, 03 Dec 24 17:11:55 +0000 by Vijf Kilo Boter (met voetjes).

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Comments

Credit to Pen for the help.

Sale 1)

Seller:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102262709#!/compare/1721606400/1721865600

Buyer:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197985558622#!/compare/1721520000/1721865600

Item History:

https://backpack.tf/item/1279717279

Bulk

Sale 2)

Seller:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197985558622#!/compare/1721865600/1722124800

Buyer:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1721865600/1721952000

Item History:

https://backpack.tf/item/1279717279

Untraced

Sale 3)

Seller:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1723334400/1723507200

Buyer:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199752553007#!/compare/1728604800/1728777600

Item History:

https://backpack.tf/item/1279717279

Screenshot:

https://gyazo.com/243bbc0307cab5a938ea53e7f64ddeb9

Sold with 120 Keys for an AWP Dragon Lore (Field-Tested), Stilleto Doppler Knife (Factory New), and Sport Gloves Noct (Field-Tested) --- 4300 Keys

https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Blizzardy%20Storm%20Coffin%20Kit/670aa93408562303740e70c5 - Buy out at 5387.95 Keys

https://gyazo.com/a2c32a58bf8799c84076a4be4e4bf75e

Key Mini:

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/76949-selling-keys-175-for-zelle-no-fees-venmo-no-fees-cash-app-no-fees-no-paypal-333-rep/ - Selling $1.75 each

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/84670-%F0%9F%94%A5%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%98%F0%9D%97%AC%F0%9D%97%A6-%E2%87%84-%F0%9D%97%96%F0%9D%97%A5%F0%9D%97%AC%F0%9D%97%A3%F0%9D%97%A7%F0%9D%97%A2%F0%9F%94%A5-%F0%9F%92%B0selling-keys-at-170-crypto%F0%9F%92%B0-%F0%9F%93%A6stock-900-keys%F0%9F%93%A6-%F0%9F%AA%99usdt-usdc-btc-eth-doge-pepe-ltc-%F0%9F%AA%99/ - Selling for $1.70

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/68510-buying-keys-for-170-backpacks-via-paypal-700-trust-ratings%E2%9C%85/ - Buying for $1.70 each

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/79904-buying-keys-167-via-paypal/ - Buying for $1.67 each

Taking the least and the greatest and taking the average - (1.67+1.75)/2 = 1.71

Taking current key price at $1.71 per key

Mini for AWP Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) --- 3600

Screenshot:

https://gyazo.com/9adf3fb3b8e9059ee354b599a5f29604

Sold for the following:

5885.62/1.71= ~3441 Keys

6688.45/1.71= ~3911 Keys

5913.99/1.71= ~3458 Keys

Taking the average of the 3

(3411 + 3911 + 3458)/3 = 3593 Keys = ~ 3600 Keys

Mini for Stilleto Doppler Knife (Factory New) --- 480 Keys

Screenshot:

https://gyazo.com/8a5e45397aa3ec23c9a1c13caaac9350

Sold for the following:

843.17/1.71 = ~493 Keys

809.65/1.71 = ~473 Keys

829.09/1.71 = ~ 484 Keys

(493+473+484)/3 = ~483 Keys = ~ 480 Keys

Taking 480 Keys

Mini for Sport Gloves Noct (Field-Tested) --- 320 Keys

Screenshot:

https://gyazo.com/0382508c33732550818f777b71ca35ba

Sold for the following:

549.16/1.71 = ~321 Keys

475.65/1.71 = ~278 Keys

605.48/1.71= ~ 354 Keys

Taking the average of the 3 recent sales

(321+ 278+354)/3= ~318 Keys = ~ 320 Keys

Rounding to 320 Keys

(3600 + 480 + 320) - 120 = 4280 Keys = ~ 4300 Keys

Round to 4300 Keys

Taking 4300 Keys flat.

Feedback welcome! Thanks!

Did you forget the screenshot of the actual sale? I'm not seeing it in the post, unless I'm blind.

For your Dragon Lore mini, the 3900 Key sale is invalid for the mini. It only sold for above market price because it had a Titan paper and KennyS gold ($4000 in desirable stickers). That's why there are more than 10 sellers well below that sale price. Just take sales around or below the lowest seller, unless the dlore in your sale has anything that would warrant a better-than-average valuation.

The same is true for your Sports Gloves Noct mini. The two high sales are invalid because they were for above-market floats. That's why there are over 40 listings well below your mini price.

On top of all of this, there is the question of whether or not Buff is still even an acceptable price reference. 5 months ago, they updated their site policy such that basically fully excludes any non-Chinese from the website.

Check the backpack compare it's there in the trade. Backpack doesn't show the cs trade. Either way, this is the transaction

I mean, we only have your word that this was the trade. You're going to need a screenshot or something of the trade that shows it actually happened... How would the price mods know that it wasn't a cash sale, or that only one (or none) of the skins were involved, aside from your word?

Also fix up those minis :)

Yeah Pen just provided me them. Here's the screenshot, chatterbox: https://gyazo.com/243bbc0307cab5a938ea53e7f64ddeb9

I'll revise the minis with sales around the listing price :)

gg no re

Ggwp!

buyout was 4500 keys btw, not 5387, not sure why backpack is showing 5387

Yeah that's odd ngl. Thanks for letting me know kolt. Good thing it won't cap though.

Price of keys in ref has changed since that listing was removed. The buyouts are calculated in ref not keys

Thank you for clarifying, SpotlightR. I didn't know that either as well