Sale 1:

Sold for 3 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1723852800/1723939200 - Near ID: 14804426151

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149953630#!/compare/1723680000/1723939200

https://backpack.tf/item/11264221330

= 3 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 3 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058356352#!/compare/1729641600/1729728000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068068814#!/compare/1729641600/1729728000

https://backpack.tf/item/7114449770

= 3 keys

Sale 3:

Sold to a bot for 2 keys + 6.44 ref (~2.1 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098565783#!/compare/1724889600/1725408000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198890990852#!/compare/1725321600/1725408000

https://backpack.tf/item/7431631083

= 2.1 keys

Sale 4:

Sold to a bot for 2 keys + 6.44 ref (~2.1 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198288753269#!/compare/1722297600/1722384000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1722297600/1722384000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Bad%20Pipes&at=2024-10-25T14:13:19.841Z - confirmed

https://backpack.tf/item/5419837168

= 2.1 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199092941156#!/compare/1729296000/1729382400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198221487344#!/compare/1729382400/1729468800

https://backpack.tf/item/14971577453

Bulk

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198221487344#!/compare/1729468800/1729555200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198976624297#!/compare/1729209600/1729555200

https://backpack.tf/item/14971577453 - bulk-ish for Strange Spec. KS Festive GRU

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199053927429#!/compare/1722124800/1722211200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1722038400/1722124800

https://backpack.tf/item/11264221330

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1723507200/1723593600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198308219663#!/compare/1723334400/1723593600

https://backpack.tf/item/11264221330

Bulk-ish for keys

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198308219663#!/compare/1723593600/1723680000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1723593600/1723680000

https://backpack.tf/item/11264221330

Bulk for keys

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199011848317#!/compare/1727568000/1728950400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058356352#!/compare/1728691200/1728864000

https://backpack.tf/item/7114449770

Bulk for Cloudy Moon Janissary Ketche

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1724284800/1724371200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199499579920#!/compare/1723939200/1724544000

https://backpack.tf/item/6968241014

Bulk

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199499579920#!/compare/1724716800/1726790400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1725062400/1725148800

https://backpack.tf/item/6968241014

no

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1726012800/1726099200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198830392400#!/compare/1724976000/1727049600

https://backpack.tf/item/6968241014

Untraceable

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261478363#!/compare/1724025600/1724112000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049884052#!/compare/1723939200/1724025600

https://backpack.tf/item/6271084697

Bulk for Death at Dusk Spook Specs

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199112522018#!/compare/1722384000/1722470400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199069442401#!/compare/1722297600/1722729600

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Bad%20Pipes&at=2024-10-25T14:13:19.841Z - labelled as 3 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14711699086

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/item/5391750932 - gambled

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30671;5;u3003

$7, July 30th

$6.99, August 13th & September 28th

https://backpack.tf/item/5419837168 - most likely August 13th

These will all exceed sellers, excluding.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/tt87gEe.png

https://backpack.tf/item/14971577453 - 3 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7431631083 - ~3.2 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/10197287658 - ~3.7 keys

Sales at:

2.1 (2x)

3 (2x)

I don’t consider the non-bot generic buy orders (especially the ~2.3 key one) as valid, considering there have been sales for cheaper during the time they’ve been around. Additionally, we have had numerous quicksell.store dumps scattered in the “other sales” category that’ll most certainly end up being around 2.1 keys, or at least supporting a price lower than 2.1. Keeping 2.1 in the range.

Taking 2.1-3 keys.