Sale 1:

Sold for 116 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154709092#!/compare/1728345600/1728432000 - Near ID: 14992778538

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199429723284#!/compare/1728432000/1728691200

https://backpack.tf/item/13661643917

= 116 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 108 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1728950400/1729036800 - Near ID: 15022200269

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154709092#!/compare/1728950400/1729036800

https://backpack.tf/item/14646599480

163 keys on the buyer’s end, but 55 went towards the double-spelled degreaser

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169458269#!/compare/1728950400/1729036800 - Near ID: 15023209369

https://backpack.tf/item/1327389127

= 108 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 107 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107100668#!/compare/1727049600/1727308800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154709092#!/compare/1727222400/1727308800

https://backpack.tf/item/13661643917

= 107 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for 95 keys + negligible metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198274455701#!/compare/1724025600/1724284800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049679363#!/compare/1724112000/1724198400

https://backpack.tf/item/13786643874

So, looks like the items were in a small trade hold. Not only that, some keys appear to have gone to a different account temporarily, then traded to the main account. May have been for backpack space the seller currently has a capacity of 800. Calling the sale as is.

= 95 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198966019736#!/compare/1728691200/1730332800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1728691200/1728777600

https://backpack.tf/item/14646599480

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154709092#!/compare/1729555200/1729641600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161711912#!/compare/1729468800/1729641600

https://backpack.tf/item/14646599480

Bulk for Chiroptera Venenata Western Wear

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020807346#!/compare/1722729600/1730332800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1724371200/1724457600

https://backpack.tf/item/14583525545

Bulk, or potentially bought off SCM on their alt

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1727222400/1727308800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198039002838#!/compare/1727136000/1727913600

https://backpack.tf/item/14583525545

Untraceable

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198378941490#!/compare/1725926400/1729382400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1729296000/1729382400

https://backpack.tf/item/14172027693

Untraceable, likely 100 keys to an untraced buyer

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1729296000/1729382400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197972404012#!/compare/1729209600/1729382400

https://backpack.tf/item/14172027693

Untraceable, likely 115 keys (buyer’s end). Trade occurred during blackout period on item histories.

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079528766#!/compare/1723766400/1723852800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198274455701#!/compare/1723420800/1723852800

https://backpack.tf/item/13786643874

Bulk-ish for Strange Battle-Scarred Isotope Candy Coated Scattergun

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049679363#!/compare/1727136000/1727308800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094256081#!/compare/1727049600/1727395200

https://backpack.tf/item/13786643874

Untraceable

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073386321#!/compare/1723939200/1724198400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168265569#!/compare/1724025600/1724371200

https://backpack.tf/item/13780941785

Untraceable

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1722556800/1722643200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198386047762#!/compare/1723248000/1723334400

https://backpack.tf/item/13739733599

Untraceable, probably marketplace

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198386047762#!/compare/1726358400/1726444800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177872379#!/compare/1726272000/1726444800

https://backpack.tf/item/13739733599

Bulk

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199429723284#!/compare/1728432000/1728691200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199235704407#!/compare/1728604800/1728691200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Demonic%20Impaler%20Mean%20Captain&at=2024-10-31T06:16:22.547Z - labelled as 110 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13661643917

Untraceable

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31385;5;u299

$199.99, August 6th

$225, September 20th

$224.99, October 19th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.75, August 6th

$1.87, September 20th

$1.89, October 19th

199.99/1.75 = 114.28, rounds to 114

225/1.87 = 120.321, rounds to 120

224.99/1.89 = 119.042, rounds to 119

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/CMQ3hkY.png

https://backpack.tf/item/14646599480 - 120 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14661809219 - 120 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14172027693 - 120 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13661643917 - marketplace

Sales at:

95

107

108

114 (marketplace)

116

119 (marketplace)

120 (marketplace)

Taking 95-120.