Sale 1:

Sold for 5 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1727740800/1727827200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085941614#!/compare/1727654400/1727827200

https://backpack.tf/item/10780723020

= 5 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 4 keys + 29 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1727827200/1727913600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074931731#!/compare/1727913600/1728000000

https://backpack.tf/item/7441445104

This would round to ~4.4 keys, but given the buyer got rid of some other stuff, potentially for more metal to contribute to the cost of the taunt, I’m just going to round this to 4.5.

Skipped over the gambling in the history.

= 4.5 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 4 keys + 33 ref (33/63.33 = ~4.5)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1726358400/1726444800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144853552#!/compare/1726358400/1726444800

https://backpack.tf/item/10359356164

= 4.5 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1722816000/1722902400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199204295550#!/compare/1722816000/1722902400

https://backpack.tf/item/10796652710

Untraceable, 3 keys match

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199204295550#!/compare/1722816000/1722902400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199135952616#!/compare/1722816000/1722902400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Cursed%20Confinement%20Taunt:%20Second%20Rate%20Sorcery&at=2024-10-31T06:35:45.359Z - labelled as 3 keys + 36 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/10796652710

Untraceable. Respectfully, I’m not counting the keys and metal on the buyer’s end here lol

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198180932842#!/compare/1726272000/1726444800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1726272000/1726358400

https://backpack.tf/item/10359356164

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1726790400/1726876800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1726790400/1726876800

https://backpack.tf/item/7441445104

Untraceable

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1726963200/1727049600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199012047880#!/compare/1726531200/1727049600

https://backpack.tf/item/7441445104

Untraceable

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199012047880#!/compare/1727049600/1727222400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1726963200/1727049600

https://backpack.tf/item/7441445104

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198314636689#!/compare/1725840000/1726099200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1726012800/1726099200

https://backpack.tf/item/13668127903

Bulk for Revenant’s Rack Mean Captain, hoping to use there

https://backpack.tf/item/10759203409 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/5186133546 - all trades in this history were in bulk, they look like they were passed through alts rather than traded or anything.

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30816;5;u3060

$10, September 19th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

Keys were $1.87

10/1.87 = 5.348

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/Kk6henV.png

https://backpack.tf/item/9287269800 - 5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/5958246048 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/5198112318 - marketplace

Sales at:

4.5 (2x)

5

5.35 (marketplace)

Seller at 5, excluding 5.35.

Taking 4.5-5 keys.