Sale 1:

Sold for 33 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199124175531#!/compare/1729382400/1729468800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198851414151#!/compare/1718150400/1729641600

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Arachne%27s%20Web%20Mean%20Captain&at=2024-11-01T08:46:22.342Z - confirmed

https://backpack.tf/item/13738844543

= 33 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 33 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199124175531#!/compare/1726272000/1726358400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117426114#!/compare/1726272000/1728518400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Arachne%27s%20Web%20Mean%20Captain&at=2024-11-01T08:46:22.342Z - confirmed

https://backpack.tf/item/13652317364

= 33 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for Dazzling Constellations Oktoberfester

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062747535#!/compare/1728000000/1728086400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141457836#!/compare/1727913600/1729814400

https://backpack.tf/item/14662304471

https://i.imgur.com/PcY4aBz.png - B/O of 32

https://i.imgur.com/SCHwxhU.png - buyers at 33+ on the other hat, so this’ll cap.

= 32 keys (Capped by B/O)

Sale 4:

Sold for 31 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198298242445#!/compare/1724803200/1725148800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198436103721#!/compare/1724630400/1725062400

https://backpack.tf/item/14373076651

= 31 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for 30 keys + just over half a key in metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1726099200/1726185600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048962451#!/compare/1726099200/1726185600

https://backpack.tf/item/14165301500

= 31 keys

Sale 6:

Sold for 28 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1729382400/1729468800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105766081#!/compare/1729382400/1729468800

https://backpack.tf/item/13833346466

= 28 keys

Sale 7:

Sold to STN for 26 keys + negligible metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198930683342#!/compare/1722297600/1728086400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1728000000/1728086400

https://backpack.tf/item/13833346466

= 26 keys

Sale 8:

Sold to a bot for 25 keys + ~1 key in metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198436103721#!/compare/1726876800/1726963200 - Near ID: 14933059811

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1726876800/1726963200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Arachne%27s%20Web%20Mean%20Captain&at=2024-11-01T08:46:22.342Z - confirmed

https://backpack.tf/item/14373076651

= 26 keys

Sale 9:

Sold to a bot for 26 keys + less than half a key in metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198356766939#!/compare/1727654400/1730419200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199124175531#!/compare/1727568000/1727654400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Arachne%27s%20Web%20Mean%20Captain&at=2024-11-01T08:46:22.342Z - confirmed

https://backpack.tf/item/13738844543

= 26 keys

Sale 10:

Sold for 26 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199073805105#!/compare/1722556800/1722643200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066221848#!/compare/1722556800/1722643200

https://backpack.tf/item/13662677681

= 26 keys

Sale 11:

Sold to STN for 23 keys + negligible metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198374206487#!/compare/1723766400/1723852800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1723680000/1723766400

https://backpack.tf/item/13662677681

= 23 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198429988694#!/compare/1726358400/1730419200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062747535#!/compare/1726876800/1726963200

https://backpack.tf/item/14662304471

Untraceable/Bulk, or retrieved from their bot.

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141457836#!/compare/1729814400/1730419200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1729987200/1730073600

https://backpack.tf/item/14662304471

Sold for Spec. KS Aussie Tomislav. Well below buyers.

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1725148800/1725235200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1725235200/1725321600

https://backpack.tf/item/14165301500

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1723334400/1723420800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198291985932#!/compare/1647388800/1727308800

https://backpack.tf/item/13763409283

Bulk-ish quicksell.store

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199228558651#!/compare/1723507200/1723593600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1723507200/1723593600

https://backpack.tf/item/13727356644

Bulk for Treasure Trove Breach and Bomb

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1729036800/1729123200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050050650#!/compare/1729123200/1729209600

https://backpack.tf/item/13727356644

Sold for Dead Presidents Rotation Sensation.

This will end up falling into the range if used here. May end up falling below buyers if used there.

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075555852#!/compare/1722902400/1730419200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1729987200/1730073600

https://backpack.tf/item/13679677749

Sold for Haunted Ghosts Noble Nickel + Duck Journal?

Given quicksell.store values, I’m certain more was involved.

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045983311#!/compare/1724457600/1725753600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199393293102#!/compare/1725062400/1725840000

https://backpack.tf/item/13676226603

Untraceable

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199393293102#!/compare/1726099200/1726185600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130707664#!/compare/1726012800/1726358400

https://backpack.tf/item/13676226603

Untraceable, most likely the 25 key + 48.22 ref sale.

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Arachne%27s%20Web%20Mean%20Captain&at=2024-11-01T08:46:22.342Z

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841365001#!/compare/1724025600/1724198400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1724112000/1724198400

https://backpack.tf/item/13672217834

Bulk

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1724457600/1724544000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199012697869#!/compare/1724976000/1725062400

https://backpack.tf/item/13672217834

Untraceable

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075929347#!/compare/1722470400/1722556800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199073805105#!/compare/1722470400/1722556800

https://backpack.tf/item/13662677681

Bulk for Arachne’s Web Seared Sorcerer

#13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066221848#!/compare/1723420800/1723507200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198432918350#!/compare/1723248000/1723420800

https://backpack.tf/item/13662677681

Bulk for Pumpkin Moon Roaming Roman

#14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198432918350#!/compare/1723420800/1723507200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198374206487#!/compare/1722124800/1723507200

https://backpack.tf/item/13662677681

Untraceable, 16 keys match. A further 7 keys match from the previous owner of the taunt the seller bought later. Seller re-sold to STN anyways, so it’s likely they took a loss.

#15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1723852800/1723939200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130092503#!/compare/1723593600/1729123200

https://backpack.tf/item/13662677681

Untraceable

#16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177905085#!/compare/1723939200/1727568000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1727481600/1727568000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Arachne%27s%20Web%20Mean%20Captain&at=2024-11-01T08:46:22.342Z - labelled as 26 keys + 5.88 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/14086789611

Backpack buy

#17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105766081#!/compare/1729641600/1729728000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086011812#!/compare/1729641600/1729814400

https://backpack.tf/item/13833346466

https://backpack.tf/item/14414394606 - cstrade

https://backpack.tf/item/13649911850 - marketplace

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31385;5;u305

$69.99, August 12th (2x), 14th, 16th, 30th, 31st, September 18th, & October 6th.

All these sales will largely exceed current sellers. Excluding them all.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/kq20mIo.png

https://backpack.tf/item/13679677749 - ~31.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13804177871 - 33 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14662304471 - 35 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14086789611 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/13676226603 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/13833346466 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/13655575946 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/13676598054 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/14373076651 - marketplace

Sales at:

23

26 (4x)

28

31 (2x)

32

33 (2x)

Opting to use a larger range here, since a lot of sales are either a bit under buyers or a bit over buyers. We have a lot of sales at 26, I don’t think it would be wise to exclude all of them.

23 looks like an outlier. Excluding 23.

Taking 26-33.