Sale 1:

Sold for 2 keys + 20 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389549498#!/compare/1724803200/1724889600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198287490940#!/compare/1724889600/1725148800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Spin-to-Win&at=2024-11-08T07:10:18.169Z - confirmed

https://backpack.tf/item/14625387762

Keys were ~60.55 ref

20/60.55 = 0.33, rounds to 0.35

= 2.35 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 2 keys + 10 ref?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199206070051#!/compare/1724630400/1724803200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389549498#!/compare/1724544000/1724630400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Spin-to-Win&at=2024-11-08T07:10:18.169Z - confirmed

https://backpack.tf/item/14625387762

1 key + 10 ref matches, should be safe to assume gladiator is correct here.

Keys were ~60.55 ref

10/60.55 = 0.165, rounds to 0.15

= 2.15 keys

Sale 3:

Sold to a bot for 2 keys + 10 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198340829257#!/compare/1724544000/1724630400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1724457600/1724544000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Spin-to-Win&at=2024-11-08T07:10:18.169Z - labelled as 2 keys + 10 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/12696017450

Keys were ~60.55 ref

= 2.15 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198287490940#!/compare/1726272000/1731024000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1727481600/1727568000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Spin-to-Win&at=2024-11-08T07:10:18.169Z - labelled as 2 keys + 10.22 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/14625387762

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198176755474#!/compare/1724284800/1724457600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1724371200/1724457600

https://backpack.tf/item/14417163517

Untraceable, a scrap matches

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1724889600/1724976000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199244799052#!/compare/1724976000/1725062400

https://backpack.tf/item/14417163517

Bulk

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199244799052#!/compare/1725062400/1725148800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1724976000/1725062400

https://backpack.tf/item/14417163517

Untraceable

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1725148800/1725235200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198315183286#!/compare/1724544000/1729555200

https://backpack.tf/item/14417163517

Bulk-ish, most likely missing stuff

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1724889600/1724976000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199200822223#!/compare/1724976000/1725148800

https://backpack.tf/item/14058228094

Looks like a key + potentially all the metal on the buyer’s end. Haven’t checked it all, but considering the buyer sold some stuff for metal, I’d rather not get an exact value from this sale as I’m not going to be certain on the amount of metal. Should be fine to use as support anyway.

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199200822223#!/compare/1725148800/1725235200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098551306#!/compare/1725148800/1725235200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Spin-to-Win&at=2024-11-08T07:10:18.169Z - labelled as 2 keys + 10 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/14058228094

Untraceable

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199087144670#!/compare/1723852800/1724716800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1723766400/1723852800

https://backpack.tf/item/12696017450

Bulk-ish for Cremation Scooty Scoot

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1723852800/1723939200 - Near ID: 14804221472

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198340829257#!/compare/1723766400/1723939200

https://backpack.tf/item/12696017450

2 keys match. I’m certain more was involved. If not, this’ll fall under buyers anyway.

#10 & 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841365001#!/compare/1724630400/1724716800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220052159#!/compare/1724716800/1724889600

https://backpack.tf/item/11968142635

https://backpack.tf/item/11630083496

Untraceable/Bulk

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220052159#!/compare/1724716800/1724803200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199521823568#!/compare/1724716800/1724803200

https://backpack.tf/item/11968142635

Untraceable

#13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199521823568#!/compare/1724716800/1724803200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199526797818#!/compare/1724803200/1725062400

https://backpack.tf/item/11968142635

Untraceable, SCM involved.

#14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098551306#!/compare/1724889600/1724976000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198877372256#!/compare/1724457600/1725235200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Spin-to-Win&at=2024-11-08T07:10:18.169Z - Labelled as 2 keys + 39 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/11769175539

Untraceable, 1 key matches on the buyer’s end

#15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220052159#!/compare/1724630400/1724716800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199202208101#!/compare/1724630400/1724716800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Spin-to-Win&at=2024-11-08T07:10:18.169Z - labelled as 2 keys + 8 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/11630083496

Untraceable

#16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130707664#!/compare/1728000000/1728086400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086011812#!/compare/1728000000/1728086400

https://backpack.tf/item/9545572913

Untraceable/Bulk. Gambled prior.

https://backpack.tf/item/9858615126 - scammer/marketplace

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31161;5;u3003

$6, September 13th, October 12th, & 14th

These will all exceed current sellers, excluding.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/TsXyYFf.png

https://backpack.tf/item/14058228094 - ~2.65 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/11630083496 - ~2.65 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/11719437805 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/12696017450 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/14625387762 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/10713656686 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/9545572913 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/9858615126 - marketplace

Sales at:

2.15 (2x)

2.35

With a grand total of 6 sales at ~2.15 keys (values fluctuating due to decimals on key prices), I will be including 2.15 in the range, despite current buyers at ~2.2 keys (1 ref higher, with current key prices).

Taking 2.15-2.35 keys.