Sale 1:

Sold for 40 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198970722371#!/compare/1728691200/1728950400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198882886230#!/compare/1728691200/1728777600

https://backpack.tf/item/6423302271

= 40 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 36 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084236059#!/compare/1729555200/1729814400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091316855#!/compare/1729814400/1729900800

https://backpack.tf/item/4509855619

= 36 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 35 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198832832186#!/compare/1730764800/1730851200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093692174#!/compare/1730764800/1730851200

https://backpack.tf/item/14804144388

= 35 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for 33 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198882886230#!/compare/1731024000/1731110400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044311078#!/compare/1730678400/1731283200

https://backpack.tf/item/4662163837

= 33 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for 20 keys + Heavy Rain Texas Truckin’ (Suggestion at 12.5)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198241999094#!/compare/1729987200/1730160000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198004478413#!/compare/1729987200/1730160000

https://backpack.tf/item/13881040982

https://i.imgur.com/t0PGGWQ.png - B/O of 40 (2240/56 = 40)

= 33 keys

Sale 6:

Sold for 31 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090479609#!/compare/1730332800/1730419200 - Near ID: 15090083509

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198882886230#!/compare/1730332800/1730419200

https://backpack.tf/item/4662163837

21 keys match on the seller’s end. The seller bought items off of STN with the keys later that day

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1730332800/1730419200 - Near ID: 15091275485

10 more keys here, coming from the buyer.

= 31 keys

Sale 7:

Sold for 30 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157642475#!/compare/1730246400/1730678400 - Near ID: 15103718011

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197967159739#!/compare/1730592000/1730764800

https://backpack.tf/item/15063255903

= 30 keys

Sale 8:

Sold for 20 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198212703000#!/compare/1729296000/1729382400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1729209600/1729382400

https://backpack.tf/item/5682851202

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/67406ee74b5359ec030ea123 - confirmed here

= 20 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051118755#!/compare/1731024000/1731024000 - won’t update, current backpack has no keys anyway.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197967159739#!/compare/1730937600/1731024000

https://backpack.tf/item/15029474797

Untraceable. Worth noting their buy order of 28 at the time: https://i.imgur.com/fvBBQNj.png

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093692174#!/compare/1732060800/1732147200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198219027272#!/compare/1732060800/1732147200

https://backpack.tf/item/14804144388

Bulk

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198329137962#!/compare/1729555200/1729987200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267473923#!/compare/1729555200/1731542400

https://backpack.tf/item/8872381993

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050930436#!/compare/1731628800/1731715200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131747750#!/compare/1731628800/1731715200

https://backpack.tf/item/2727116972

Untraceable, looks like they potentially got scammed :(

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198226747368#!/compare/1731283200/1731369600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059160806#!/compare/1731283200/1731369600

https://backpack.tf/item/2691783243

Sold for 25 keys + 1 reclaimed?

Buy orders at the time of the sale would suggest 2 more keys were involved.

https://i.imgur.com/O9gu3i4.png

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198882886230#!/compare/1730160000/1730246400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200970331#!/compare/1730160000/1730246400

https://backpack.tf/item/6423302271

https://i.imgur.com/cT25Wff.png - B/O of 40 (2240/56 = 40)

Sold for Heavy Rain Soldier’s Requiem

Fewer useful sales on the Requiem, using there instead.

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013596262#!/compare/1732147200/1732233600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063640894#!/compare/1732060800/1732147200

https://backpack.tf/item/14768145023

Either bulk or a backpack buy

Heavy Rain Texas Truckin’:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/674145865f4210784a0a768a

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1118;5;u3183

$89.99, November 23rd

This’ll end up being at least 50 keys, which is way too high here. Excluding.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/oFobAcC.png

https://backpack.tf/item/2727116972 - 32 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/15063255903 - 33 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2691783243 - 36 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14658547809 - 45 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/3048738590 - marketplace

Sales at:

20

30

31

33 (2x)

35

36

40

20 is an outlier, and countered by buyers. Excluding 20.

Sellers at 32, 33, and 36. I’ll give the cheaper two sellers the benefit of the doubt, but I won’t stray past that. Excluding 40.

Taking 30-36.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079503386#!/compare/1733097600/1733184000\

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107045156#!/compare/1733011200/1733097600

https://backpack.tf/item/14658547809

30 keys

Updated view of sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/uRsHHAD.png

https://backpack.tf/item/2727116972 - 32 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2691783243 - ~34.8 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14658547809 - 40 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/3048738590 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107045156#!/compare/1733529600/1733616000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065830103#!/compare/1732752000/1733616000

https://backpack.tf/item/14658547809

Bulk for Green Energy Executioner