Sale 1:

Sold for 8 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042255909#!/compare/1729468800/1729641600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197967159739#!/compare/1729555200/1729641600

https://backpack.tf/item/6254718594

= 8 keys

Sale 2:

Sold with around half a key in metal for 5 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1732060800/1732147200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084310484#!/compare/1732060800/1732147200

https://backpack.tf/item/15002791076

Manually searching gives 5 keys:

https://backpack.tf/item/15157896045

https://backpack.tf/item/15157896046

https://backpack.tf/item/15157896049

https://backpack.tf/item/15157896050

https://backpack.tf/item/15157896052

Some metal went towards the other taunt the buyer bought. Since I’m not able to get an exact amount of metal, I’ll play it safe and value the metal added with the taunt at ~0.5 keys, which lines up will with the bot’s B/O:

https://i.imgur.com/4RcOskY.png

= 4.5 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 4 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993477770#!/compare/1729814400/1729900800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220064081#!/compare/1729814400/1729900800

https://backpack.tf/item/6444865522

= 4 keys

Sale 4:

Sold with Heavy Rain Balloonibouncer for 6 keys + 20 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157642475#!/compare/1731110400/1731369600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059160806#!/compare/1731196800/1731283200

https://backpack.tf/item/9546711293

https://i.imgur.com/Do0Eptx.png - Buy order for the Jumping Jack at the time was 3 keys

https://i.imgur.com/FGrh8El.png - and about 3 keys + 20 ref for the Balloon.

Taking 3 keys here.

= 3 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310750043#!/compare/1732060800/1732147200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272013244#!/compare/1731110400/1732147200

https://backpack.tf/item/15083571432

Gambled

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198257082566#!/compare/1732147200/1732233600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199117306150#!/compare/1732147200/1732233600

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Heavy%20Rain%20Taunt:%20The%20Jumping%20Jack&at=2024-11-24T04:49:25.187Z - labelled as 3 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/15083571432

Untraceable, some metal matches

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198346038771#!/compare/1731110400/1731196800 - won’t update

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198219027272#!/compare/1731196800/1731283200

https://backpack.tf/item/15059404837

Untraceable, probably SCM

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1730505600/1730592000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059978313#!/compare/1730592000/1730678400

https://backpack.tf/item/15007468230

Untraceable

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198428025966#!/compare/1729123200/1731196800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1731801600/1731888000

https://backpack.tf/item/15002791076

Bulk

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1732060800/1732147200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084310484#!/compare/1732060800/1732147200

https://backpack.tf/item/15002791076

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198322398187#!/compare/1729900800/1730246400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157642475#!/compare/1729382400/1730246400

https://backpack.tf/item/9546711293

SCM

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142416019#!/compare/1729814400/1729900800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993477770#!/compare/1729814400/1729900800

https://backpack.tf/item/6444865522

Untraceable

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/o4z8AUN.png

https://backpack.tf/item/15083571432 - 5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/9546711293 - 5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/8370947705 - 10 keys

Sales at:

3

4

4.5

8

8 is way too high given current sellers. Excluding 8.

3 went to a bot, but buyers are currently decently far off of 3. Keeping 3.

Taking 3-4.5 keys.