Sale 1:

Sold for 13 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199307374254#!/compare/1730592000/1730678400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199137143#!/compare/1730505600/1730678400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Heavy%20Rain%20Taunt:%20Surgeon%27s%20Squeezebox&at=2024-11-26T11:01:25.088Z - confirmed

https://backpack.tf/item/13487136722

= 13 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 11 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197971156464#!/compare/1729814400/1729900800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197967159739#!/compare/1729814400/1729900800

https://backpack.tf/item/6608648110

= 11 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 10 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199137143#!/compare/1731456000/1731542400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035700550#!/compare/1731024000/1731542400

https://backpack.tf/item/13487136722

= 10 keys

Sale 4:

Most likely sold for 10 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057476558#!/compare/1730592000/1732060800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059978313#!/compare/1730592000/1730678400

https://backpack.tf/item/6500908478

Having updated a bunch of these taunts, I’ve seen these two accounts very frequently together

https://backpack.tf/u/76561198059978313

https://backpack.tf/u/76561198219027272

Either they’re owned by the same guy, or they frequently deal with each other. 10 keys from the 2nd account match on the seller’s end here, and was most likely moved to the 1st account shortly after.

= 10 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057414229#!/compare/1732147200/1732320000 - won’t update

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059160806#!/compare/1732233600/1732320000

https://backpack.tf/item/11334525573

Untraceable

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30918;5;u3183

$34.99, October 31st

$29.99, November 12th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.88, October 31st

$1.83, November 12th

34.99/1.88 = 18.612, rounds to 19 keys

29.99/1.83 = 16.388, rounds to 16 keys

= 19 keys

= 16 keys

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/DPtDhcm.png

https://backpack.tf/item/11334525573 - 20 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/9651081005 - 30 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/8358525472 - 40 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6471403749 - 40 keys

Sales at:

10 (2x)

11

13

16 (marketplace)

19 (marketplace)

While there’s no good reason to exclude 10 or 11, keeping it in the range would result in a very large range. I’m going to instead opt to take 13-16 keys, which includes a pure sale and a marketplace sale. This will give us the same average as taking 10-19 would.

Taking 13-16 keys.