Sale 1:

Sold for 4 keys + 30 ref (~4.5 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1729641600/1729728000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073353907#!/compare/1723334400/1730592000

https://backpack.tf/item/9578307965

= 4.5 keys

Sale 2:

Sold with 31.44 ref (~0.55 keys) for 5 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1729728000/1729814400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305491382#!/compare/1729641600/1729814400

https://backpack.tf/item/6900543207

= 4.45 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 3 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1730937600/1731024000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1730937600/1731024000

https://backpack.tf/item/12323607873

= 3 keys

Sale 4:

Sold to a bot for 2 keys + 26 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199171438374#!/compare/1729468800/1729555200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199500810413#!/compare/1729468800/1729555200

https://backpack.tf/item/9578307965

= 2.45 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199005011487#!/compare/1728518400/1728604800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1730851200/1730937600

https://backpack.tf/item/12323607873

Untraceable, missing info in history

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199177658263#!/compare/1729296000/1729382400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1729296000/1729382400

https://backpack.tf/item/6900543207

Untraceable, missing info in history (histories weren’t being updated at this time)

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052793694#!/compare/1730332800/1730937600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963500354#!/compare/1731283200/1731369600

https://backpack.tf/item/14996224864

Bulk/untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101988842#!/compare/1731456000/1731628800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1731628800/1731715200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Heavy%20Rain%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2024-12-01T03:04:06.239Z - labelled as 2 keys + 13.22 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/15140834593

2 keys + 2 scrap match. I don’t doubt gladiator here, but I’m not gonna bother using this, it’s below buyers anyways.

Sellers:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30762;5;u3183

https://backpack.tf/item/5655807836 - $14.99 (~8.3 keys)

https://backpack.tf/item/4956977847 - $14.99

https://backpack.tf/item/15022979868 - $14.99

https://backpack.tf/item/14996224864 - $14.99

Sales at:

2.45

3

4.45

4.5

Adding 3 into the range. There’s only 1 buyer at 3, and there’s untraceable support for 3 or lower (#1, #2, #4) on top of the sales at 2.45 and 3. Excluding 2.45 though.

Taking 3-4.5 keys.