Sale 1:

Sold for 4 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168591227#!/compare/1732406400/1732492800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197967159739#!/compare/1732406400/1732492800

https://backpack.tf/item/3275803455

= 4 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 2 keys + 7 ref (~2.1 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147958743#!/compare/1731715200/1732060800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168591227#!/compare/1731974400/1732060800

https://backpack.tf/item/3275803455

= 2.1 keys

Sale 3:

Sold with various other taunts for 8 keys + 19.77 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198405382629#!/compare/1731110400/1731196800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1731110400/1731196800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Heavy%20Rain%20Taunt:%20Spent%20Well%20Spirits&at=2024-12-04T02:59:45.818Z - labelled as 2 keys + 6.22 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/3970604662

The other taunts involved:

https://backpack.tf/item/3846951100

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Pumpkin%20Patch%20Taunt:%20Most%20Wanted&at=2024-12-04T03:01:17.227Z - labelled as 1 key + 36.44 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/4404141946

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Lovable%20Confetti%20Taunt:%20Bucking%20Bronco - labelled as 2 keys + 7.77 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/13945253086

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Pumpkin%20Patch%20Taunt:%20The%20Proletariat%20Posedown&at=2024-12-04T03:02:10.858Z - labelled as 2 keys + 5.77 ref

Should be fine to take gladiator’s valuation for granted here.

= 2.1 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198246096512#!/compare/1731024000/1731110400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198219027272#!/compare/1731196800/1731283200

https://backpack.tf/item/5637157417

Untraceable, went to alt/friend afterwards.

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200970331#!/compare/1730592000/1730678400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056176130#!/compare/1730246400/1730764800

https://backpack.tf/item/2946551316

10 keys match. Highly doubt this is correct, but if it is, it’s a large outlier.

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1114;5;u3183

https://backpack.tf/item/4179989004

$7.99, October 29th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were $1.89

7.99/1.89 = 4.228, rounds to 4.25.

= 4.25 keys

Sellers:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1114;5;u3183

https://backpack.tf/item/15031228488 - $7.99, ~4.5 keys

Sales at:

2.1 (2x)

4

4.25 (marketplace)

https://i.imgur.com/fPnDRGX.png - numerous buyers at ~2.1 keys, excluding 2.1.

Taking 4-4.25 keys.