Sale 1:

Sold for 40 keys (Buyer’s end)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091585647#!/compare/1729900800/1729987200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199382997501#!/compare/1729900800/1729987200

https://backpack.tf/item/15002730054

= 40 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for Cuban Smoke Aimframe (Suggestion at 14.5) + Dragonflies’ Nature Zoomin’ Broom (Mini at 12 below) (Buyer’s end)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199174635222#!/compare/1730246400/1730332800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070980833#!/compare/1730246400/1730332800

https://backpack.tf/item/15022384474

= 27 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 21 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014807922#!/compare/1729900800/1729987200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091585647#!/compare/1729814400/1729900800

https://backpack.tf/item/14998876849

= 21 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for 18 keys + negligible metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191137318#!/compare/1729814400/1729900800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199174635222#!/compare/1729728000/1729900800

https://backpack.tf/item/15022384474

= 18 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for 15 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111135693#!/compare/1729036800/1729728000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191137318#!/compare/1729641600/1729728000

https://backpack.tf/item/15022384474

= 15 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259528152#!/compare/1731369600/1731456000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139627699#!/compare/1731369600/1731456000

https://backpack.tf/item/15092148203

https://backpack.tf/item/15092148199

Bulk/untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139627699#!/compare/1732147200/1732233600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066701092#!/compare/1732060800/1732233600

https://backpack.tf/item/15092148203

Bulk-ish for Haunting Haze Fleet Commander

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259528152#!/compare/1729814400/1729900800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091585647#!/compare/1729814400/1729900800

https://backpack.tf/item/15002730054

5 keys match

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960278017#!/compare/1730937600/1731110400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094190043#!/compare/1731542400/1732147200

https://backpack.tf/item/15002729997

Untraceable

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091585647#!/compare/1730764800/1730851200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093692174#!/compare/1730764800/1730851200

https://backpack.tf/item/14998876849

Untraceable

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093692174#!/compare/1732060800/1732147200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177872379#!/compare/1732060800/1732147200

https://backpack.tf/item/14998876849

Bulk for Frosty Silver Conga

Cuban Smoke Aimframe:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/67525fc2b3d208470f06394a

Dragonflies Ascent Zoomin’ Broom:

Sale 1:

Sold for 25 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198799144847#!/compare/1726099200/1726185600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198297023624#!/compare/1726185600/1727136000

https://backpack.tf/item/4264501607

= 25 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 12 keys?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048926582#!/compare/1728432000/1729123200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048062853#!/compare/1728432000/1728777600

https://backpack.tf/item/4281460610

Keys on the buyer’s end went to a Quicksell.store bot. Seller bought at least one hat from quicksell.store. Should be safe to assume it sold for 12 here.

= 12 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073652187#!/compare/1726531200/1726876800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198219288407#!/compare/1726704000/1726790400

https://backpack.tf/item/4383362760

Bulk in an auction

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199174635222#!/compare/1730246400/1730332800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082464434#!/compare/1730246400/1730332800

https://backpack.tf/item/4286517286

Untraceable

https://i.imgur.com/77kzhqR.png

https://backpack.tf/item/4383362760 - 15 keys, 2 months

25 is too high with that seller. Excluding 25.

Taking 12 flat.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/PlK6Rxr.png

https://backpack.tf/item/15092148199 - 60 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31467;5;u3183

https://backpack.tf/item/14998876849 - $90 (~50 keys)

Sales at:

15

18

21

27

40

While 27 may be close to buy orders, we have a magnitude of sales for much cheaper. Excluding 15-21, but keeping 27.

Taking 27-40 keys.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139627699#!/compare/1734393600/1734566400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040115104#!/compare/1734393600/1734480000

https://backpack.tf/item/15092148199

new sale at 85 keys...

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31467;5;u3183

https://backpack.tf/item/14998876849

$90, December 20th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were $1.75

90/1.75 = ~51 keys

I'd say we have decent counter-weight to the lower sales being excluded here now.