Re-suggesting, new sale + change in market

Sale 1:

Sold for Heavy Rain Rock, Paper, Scissors (11) + Mystic Fusion Russian Rubdown (Suggestion at 5.5) + Power Pressure Victory Lap (Mini at 15 below) + Pumpkin Patch Victory Lap (Suggestion at 11) + Distant Desire Runner’s Rhythm (Mini at ~2.75 below) + Vintage Spec. KS Conniver’s Kunai (Mini at 5 below)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054198170#!/compare/1733011200/1733443200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050412790#!/compare/1733356800/1733443200

https://backpack.tf/item/7167467998

https://i.imgur.com/iOUKp5K.png - B/O of 75

11 + 5.5 + 15 + 11 + 2.75 + 5 = 50.25, rounds to 50.

= 50 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 43 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097966169#!/compare/1728864000/1728950400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060734100#!/compare/1728864000/1728950400

https://backpack.tf/item/14940689277

= 43 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for a Potassium Bonnet (~33.5)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077691964#!/compare/1729296000/1729382400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157642475#!/compare/1729382400/1730246400

https://backpack.tf/item/12443406953

IDs match. Trade occurred when histories were broken and wouldn’t update, so the seller doesn’t appear on the Bonnet’s history despite it clearly being in their backpack.

= 34 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for Butterfly Season Brand Loyalist (28) + 6 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198807571582#!/compare/1730937600/1731456000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054198170#!/compare/1730937600/1731456000

https://backpack.tf/item/7167467998

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6740664aad1bcfeaf601d70f - buyer confirms the keys were involved, thanks Cheerio

= 34 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for 27 keys (Buyer’s end)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191137318#!/compare/1729641600/1729728000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082464434#!/compare/1729641600/1729728000

https://backpack.tf/item/9831212581

= 27 keys

Sale 6:

Sold to a buy order for 25 keys (buyer’s end)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198242235438#!/compare/1728604800/1730160000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197967159739#!/compare/1730073600/1730160000

https://backpack.tf/item/9542097610

Seller spent 12 keys on an unusual that was on scrap.tf. The 12 keys on the buyer’s end that match with the scrap.tf bot were involved.

= 25 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071915251#!/compare/1731628800/1731888000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059160806#!/compare/1731801600/1731888000

https://backpack.tf/item/13982043843

12 keys match

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334727790#!/compare/1729555200/1729728000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057040433#!/compare/1729468800/1729555200

https://backpack.tf/item/13960348186

Untraceable

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198410895925#!/compare/1730592000/1732060800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198383116725#!/compare/1732060800/1732147200

https://backpack.tf/item/10090549006

Idk some milk i guess

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017911471#!/compare/1728604800/1729036800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059160806#!/compare/1728950400/1729036800

https://backpack.tf/item/9831212581

Untraceable

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059160806#!/compare/1728950400/1729036800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191137318#!/compare/1728950400/1729036800

https://backpack.tf/item/9831212581

Through manual digging, I could only find 15 items (most likely keys) that matched

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740277

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740269

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740264

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740260

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740256

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740252

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740248

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740245

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740241

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740233

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740227

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740226

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740220

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740217

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740213

It may very well have sold for 15, the bot sold the taunt after owning it for like an hour, and this was when the update was new, so the prices are likely despite what buyers are up to now.

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198410895925#!/compare/1728691200/1729123200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198383116725#!/compare/1728691200/1729382400

https://backpack.tf/item/7167467998

Untraceable/Bulk-ish

Minis:

Vintage Spec. KS Kunai:

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Vintage%20Specialized%20Killstreak%20Conniver%27s%20Kunai&at=2024-12-07T01:11:29.225Z

Very old sales, but it’s the best I can work with here.

https://i.imgur.com/ac930Jw.png - Buyers at ~4.75 keys, so I’ll exclude the ~4.2 key purchases.

Sale at 5 keys.

Taking 5 keys on the Kunai.

___________________________________________________________________________

Mystic Fusion Victory Lap:

Sold for 15 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199074009382#!/compare/1731283200/1731628800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198003892814#!/compare/1731628800/1731715200

https://backpack.tf/item/5746354913

= 15 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072811851#!/compare/1729296000/1729555200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198405509613#!/compare/1731110400/1731283200

https://backpack.tf/item/14020848486

Untraceable

No current sellers

Taking 15 keys

(Single-sale suggestion becomes valid on 15/12)

___________________________________________________________________________

Pumpkin Patch Victory Lap:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/67539f6a0ea73eb0e008ac41

___________________________________________________________________________

Mystic Fusion Russian Rubdown:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/67539add4deacd84440b9200

___________________________________________________________________________

Distant Desire Runner’s Rhythm:

https://backpack.tf/item/13933877920 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199382803147#!/compare/1727481600/1727654400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1727568000/1727654400

https://backpack.tf/item/13887875393

Backpack buy

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198194263363#!/compare/1728432000/1728518400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199523405376#!/compare/1728518400/1728604800

https://backpack.tf/item/6457566417

Untraceable/Bulk

The rest of the history is gambling/untraceable until the Heavy Rain Victory Lap trade.

Gonna have to take buy orders for this:

https://i.imgur.com/WotxRC3.png - buyer at ~2.75 keys

Taking 2.75 keys.

___________________________________________________________________________

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/jM33lgn.png

https://backpack.tf/item/13982043843 - 57 key

https://backpack.tf/item/11110643771 - 150 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14940689277 - 200 keys

Sales at:

25

27

34 (2x)

43

50

2 buyers at ~36 keys now, next highest at 24 keys. Not keen on excluding all lower sales given just the two buyers, too many to ignore. I’ll keep 34, but exclude 25 and 27.

Taking 34-50 keys.