May be the last Heavy Rain I can price for a while

Sold for Strange Birdman of Australiacatraz (~4) + 3 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199487598204#!/compare/1728691200/1728777600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198882886230#!/compare/1728691200/1728777600

https://backpack.tf/item/9654207326

= 7 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199103215683#!/compare/1729468800/1729555200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045207844#!/compare/1729036800/1730937600

https://backpack.tf/item/15023644325

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1729036800/1729123200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143987035#!/compare/1728604800/1729123200

https://backpack.tf/item/14021130948

Untraceable

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075619634#!/compare/1730505600/1731024000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197967159739#!/compare/1730505600/1730592000

https://backpack.tf/item/11014439826

Given the buyer bought the Roasty Toasty for 50 keys, seen in sale 3 here and the Drunken Sailor for 13 keys seen in sale 2 here, it’s very likely the taunt was bought with the remaining 4 keys on the buyer’s end.

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30921;5;u3183

https://backpack.tf/item/6794308436 - probably this one

$49.99, October 24th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were $1.89

49.99/1.89 = 26.45, rounds to 26 keys

= 26 keys

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/HDdCuXR.png

https://backpack.tf/item/9654207326 - 25 keys

Sales at:

7

26 (marketplace)

26 looks like an outlier, given the seller at 25, and the potential 4 key purchase in #3. Excluding 26.

Taking 7 flat.