This sugg is purely for reference as 4, albeit smaleler items aren't mini-able

Sale #1:

https://backpack.tf/item/9663058855

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198290175952#!/compare/1729728000/1730332800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199664378296#!/compare/1730160000/1730246400

Sold alongside a Condescending Embrace Wild Brim Slouch (9.64 buyers) + Horsemann's Hack Alakablamicon (60 buyers) + Purple Confetti Scotch Bonnet (13.44 buyers) + Disco Beat Down Texas Tin-Gallon (17.74 buyers) for a Burning Flames HWNN (450 https://backpack.tf/suggestion/675998d833ae3e9db00bc701 )

= 450 - 100.82

= 349

So realistically it's probably around ~300, if we take sellers it would be 100 for alak so 40 less, 20 for brim so about 10 less, 20 for scotch for 7 less, 23 less for texan so by sellers this deal is

269

So take 269-349 = 309 if we took the middle :D