Sale 1:

Undoubtedly sold for 6 keys + around half a key in metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199681990931#!/compare/1726963200/1727222400

Buyer is untraceable, they most likely flipped the item to a different bot service for a profit

https://backpack.tf/item/11082838543

= 6.5 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 6 keys + Strange Conch (~0.5 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1728432000/1728518400 - Near ID: 14994387765

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199529241216#!/compare/1728345600/1729123200

https://backpack.tf/item/15120695636

= 6.5 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 6 keys + ~0.5 keys in metal (Buyer’s end)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1729900800/1729987200 - Near ID: 15069303044

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199217814847#!/compare/1729900800/1729987200

https://backpack.tf/item/15120695636

= 6.5 keys

Sale 4:

Sold to a bot for 5 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050518375#!/compare/1728000000/1728086400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1728000000/1728086400

https://backpack.tf/item/11082838543

= 5 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30570;5;u3006

$11.50, September 24th

$10.50, November 29th & December 8th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.87, September 24th

$1.79, November 29th

$1.76, December 8th

11.5/1.87 = 6.15, rounds to 6 keys

10.5/1.79 = 5.866, rounds to 6 keys

10.5/1.76 = 5.966, rounds to 6 keys

= 6 keys (3x)

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1728000000/1728086400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199526364138#!/compare/1728518400/1728691200

https://backpack.tf/item/12614727940

Untraceable, missing info in history. Gambled afterwards.

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198023897791#!/compare/1729900800/1730073600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138656485#!/compare/1729987200/1730073600

https://backpack.tf/item/11405299763

Untraceable, looks gambled

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138656485#!/compare/1730073600/1730332800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199674417290#!/compare/1730160000/1730246400

https://backpack.tf/item/11405299763

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141187659#!/compare/1730246400/1730332800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1730246400/1730332800

https://backpack.tf/item/11405299763

Bulk to STN

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1732752000/1732838400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090479609#!/compare/1732492800/1732752000

https://backpack.tf/item/11405299763

Bulk-ish, bought off of STN. Don’t wanna use this without knowing the B/Os on both

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198338098835#!/compare/1727913600/1728172800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050518375#!/compare/1728000000/1728086400

https://backpack.tf/item/11082838543

Untraceable, probably bulk

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1728777600/1728864000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1728777600/1728950400

https://backpack.tf/item/11082838543

Untraceable, went to a gambler.

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121053793#!/compare/1729900800/1729987200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199135952616#!/compare/1729900800/1729987200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Pool%20Party&at=2024-12-15T13:36:21.249Z - labelled as 4 keys + 47.22 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/4742345183

Untraceable, skipped past the gambling in the history

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199135952616#!/compare/1730160000/1730246400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199069442401#!/compare/1730073600/1730246400

https://backpack.tf/item/4742345183

Bulk

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199069442401#!/compare/1733529600/1733961600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1733788800/1733875200

https://backpack.tf/item/4742345183

Likely bulk, 11 keys match

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198425988843#!/compare/1727913600/1728000000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057412106#!/compare/1727827200/1727913600

https://backpack.tf/item/3731583859

Backpack buy

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199529241216#!/compare/1729555200/1729900800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1729468800/1729555200

https://backpack.tf/item/15120695636

Junk on both ends

#13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199217814847#!/compare/1730764800/1731110400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199202090646#!/compare/1731024000/1731110400

https://backpack.tf/item/15120695636

Untraceable

#14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199103818277#!/compare/1726358400/1726444800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148760840#!/compare/1726358400/1726444800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Pool%20Party&at=2024-12-15T13:36:21.249Z - labelled as 6 keys + 29.88 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/13726101037

#15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199202090646#!/compare/1733097600/1733184000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205901717#!/compare/NaN/1733184000 - won’t update

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Pool%20Party&at=2024-12-15T13:36:21.249Z - labelled as 6 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/15120695636

Checking the buyer’s fallback inventory, I can see 19 keys. Manually checking histories reveals 2 keys, checking item IDs manuals reveals another one, but not quite 6.

https://backpack.tf/item/15197406373

https://backpack.tf/item/15197406377

https://backpack.tf/item/15197406380

https://backpack.tf/item/10906070447 - gambled

https://backpack.tf/item/9728575562 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/4489634110 - gambled

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/zMCdUhS.png

https://backpack.tf/item/8368480476 - 7 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/4004498518 - 7 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/9073731966 - ~9.8 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/5284969975 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/3388982855 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/11071684599 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/11540860861 - marketplace

Sales at:

5

6 (3x, marketplace)

6.5 (3x)

Buyers at 5 keys, excluding 5.

Taking 6-6.5 keys.