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I used to own one of these so thought I'd update the 7-year-old price. I traded mine for 20 keys (didn't take me more than a month on bp.tf classifieds to find a buyer):
https://backpack.tf/item/1792090675
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032578836#!/compare/1735084800/1735257600
Had a look at the below ID history which has been traded recently:
https://backpack.tf/item/15143600164
I think this was traded for ~21 keys in late November 2024 (the key histories match). Maybe 30 refined was involved but histories not logged?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838524661#!/compare/1732320000/1732406400
Then traded to stntrading bot same day. I can't decipher what the deal was.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065639920#!/compare/1732406400/1732492800
The bot is currently buying ~15 keys and selling for ~22 keys. Unlikely someone would trade it same day for less than what was paid?
https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Kill-a-Watt+One-Man+Army
https://imgur.com/a/1Cgm7aY (buyout currently sitting ~22 keys).
Might be other recent sales but I don't have bp.tf premium to check them out.
This is just supplementary evidence of older sales to support the notion that the current 13 key suggestion is too low. If you login to MP.TF you can see no sales recorded for 2024. You can see sales between $34-45 USD in 2021-2023.
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/601;5;u56
New sale:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1736812800/1736899200 - Sold for 21 keys
If you could resuggest this at 20 - 21 :D
I was a bit impatient to wait and see what STN bot would eventually end up selling for. I thought even if it sold for 21 or 22 keys it would be a narrow 1-2 key range that's close enough to 20 flat anyway.
I see what you were trying to do. You also had another sale at 21 keys when you suggested it, so it should have been 20-21 anyway. Your sales are currently: 20, 21 and 21.
A range is better here because you have a range of sales and it’s more accurate. 20 flat implies you only have one sale, which isn’t the case.
I won't be doing another suggestion for this just because it is a few % lower than it could be. Anyone reading this is welcome to interpret these sales as they wish.