Price Suggestion
Frostbite Head Warmer
Submitted by Bentry Suster
~1000 keys
frostbite
Unusual Head Warmer Frostbite
243 votes up
81 votes down
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This suggestion was accepted by Shuffle Spy.

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Comments

    https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/6033-rules-for-unusual-price-suggestions/


    Exceptions when buy orders don't necessarily counter lower sales

    Numbers Matter - if there is only 1 lonely buy order and 3 sales lower than that it probably doesn't counter. Also generic buy orders (any effect) are usually buying more than 1 copy of a hat.

    Common Trading Point - if there is a huge number of sales at or around buyer prices then it might be included in the price range. Sellers being close to buy orders is also an indication for that.

    Market Shifts - timing of buy orders and sales matter: If a sale took place before a buy order was created the seller obviously couldn't just "sell it to the buy order instead".

    Counter Buy Orders - Buy orders created after a suggestion was made with the sole purpose of countering the suggestion will be structurally ignored.


    AS per the rules, singel buyers dont counter sales, which is what I said.

      https://backpack.tf/help/suggestions

      "Evidence must not be cherry-picked." Wow, there are 2 sales, one sale uber bot buyer, so I choose it.

      Just stop treating price suggestions as your personal notes or political weapons.

        Uber bot? what are you talking about? You're cherry picking one sale. Political weapons is interesting considering instead of making a normal suggestion you did, you added your own comment at the top lol.


        Plus this needs to be resuggested anyway

          Ok, u good, u can just put range like 330-1000 now, create a new suggestion like: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6778b2dcaf49ab5b7e012cd4


            You're being very immature. I was being professional and just stating the rules as they are written and you are getting oddly defensive.


            The sale is also 1005 now but will probably round to 1000 anyway.

              maybe you and I ... aren't so different after all

          Since they were highlighted, I'll address each of the exception cases and how they do or don't apply here.


          - There were two buy orders at/above the price of the first sale at the time of the second sale (if not earlier?) as shown in the buyout image in the second sale here, and there's only 1 low sale and 1 high sale, not multiple sales below the buy orders.

          - Again, there's only 1 sale low and high, so neither end truly establishes a common trading point.

          - While we don't have a screenshot showing the buy orders at the time of the first sale, the market had shifted to be higher than that value by the time the second sale occurred given the multiple buy orders at or slightly above the first sale's value.

          - I agree the buy orders created after this suggestion was created don't apply, but there were buy orders up before this suggestion was created that do.


          As for the valuation of sale 2, the Green Energy Pyromancer's in this sale is duped. That said, the sale prior was 3.5 months prior for what looks like 1100 Keys, and the sale after was 4 months after for 750 Keys.

          https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252999692#!/compare/1726358400/1726444800 - 1100 in September

          https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199082971157#!/compare/1746057600/1746230400 - 750 a week ago

          Neither's a great indication of its value, so taking 745 from the clean sales is ok as an estimate at the time of the sale for this Head Warmer supported by the recent sale for 750.


          Additionally, the Attendant was updated to 210 Keys, so the sale here should be valued at 1015 Keys. That'll still round to 1000 Keys per our rounding guidelines.

          Also seems like an outlier (in my opinion purely), frostbite is asking more than It's a Secret to Everybody Head Warmer https://i.imgur.com/IYaugVd.png , double what D@D, Anti-freeze etc is.


          The seller also stated his own sale would be an outlier, and with the sale at $530 which is the same as buyers, we would need a 3rd sale to determine an outlier between them.

            Oh my god, you're a ten-year-experienced suggester!

            "cloud 9 Head Warmer sold for 69 keys only!!11!!! so I think Frostbite Head Warmer sale is outlier!!111!!1

              Just stop treating price suggestions as your personal notes or political weapons. I also stated "in my opinion purely", so please remain civil.

                "I also stated in my opinion purely"

                Just stop treating price suggestions as your notes again, omg. 💀💀💀

                2 sales, 1 @ 330 keys, 1 @ 1000 keys, bot buyers 2 @ 340+ keys now, this is the only thing the moderators need to know.

            I feel like since sale 1 was under buy orders. It would result that sale 2 would be the only usable sale.

              👍👍

                Jame pricing the frostbite TC at 1275 to see this at 1000 be like:

                  People will pay more for more themed unusuals. I don't see the issue with someone paying 1000 for a hat that is themed.

                    I can agree Jame on that. This Frostbite head warmer is very themed.

                    why people always comparing suggestions with other hats/effects... this can't be effect on price

                  suggestion ego is crazy 👍👍

                    The head warmer is actually a very nice hat, it matches the purpose of the cosmetic

                    Sold for a frostbite attendant + GE Pyromancer + 60 keys

                    I don't know if there will ever be another sale but the other two owners of the Frostbite Warmer, one is a collector and the other simply doesn't want to sell it

                      Honestly to both traders, congrats to them

                      what a good day to see this suggestion again

                        I wonder what vested interest you have in this hat, Jay.

                          None, just when a hat has two sales vastly different, you should wait for a third to determine the outlier :)

                            Conditions for waiting for a third sale to determine an outlier would be if both sales were valid. One sale is under current buy orders and should be excluded, leaving one valid sale for the suggestion. No need to wait for a third sale here!

                              Buy orders made after the suggestion don't count silly Jame

                                oh, so the buyers @ 330 and stn buying @ 342 when the suggest was made just don't apply here because you said so. Sure! I'm so glad you are not looking at data and instead choosing to cherry pick data for no reason.

                                  Guys calm down, there's another option.


                                  Let me ressugest.

                              what the hell is going on in this suggestion

                                expected nothing less from a themed pyro hat

                                    accept this frfr

                                      It's been 3 months.

                                        What is happening

                                          Green Energy Pyromancer's Mask:

                                          https://backpack.tf/suggestion/676e083fb32ca06e440b4809


                                          Item 1

                                          https://backpack.tf/item/279125396


                                          750 keys

                                          https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252999692#!/compare/1730419200/1730592000

                                          (it was taken off of marketplace to be traded for pure and I am too lazy to find the seller compare)


                                          Item 2

                                          https://backpack.tf/item/227420742


                                          backpack sale

                                          https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198892186#!/compare/1730160000/1730246400

                                          740 keys

                                          https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078427026#!/compare/1729555200/1730246400

                                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                                          Doing 740 - 750

                                          buy orders @ 700

                                          https://imgur.com/a/7LeChyB


                                          New sale

                                          https://backpack.tf/item/279125396

                                          sale1:

                                          https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252999692#!/compare/1737504000/1737849600

                                          https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094428372#!/compare/1736121600/1737763200

                                          774 items 2 sides


                                          326 keys pure


                                          Scorching Flames Seared Sorcerer:

                                          https://backpack.tf/suggestion/67e275ebbc1875134e0c041c

                                          305 keys


                                          Pyrophoric Personality Taunt: The Schadenfreude:

                                          https://backpack.tf/suggestion/67e2773ad87c2f5a4506214b

                                          108 keys


                                          Strange Corona Australis:

                                          https://backpack.tf/item/7006772314

                                          https://backpack.tf/suggestion/67b3f272c346bc5766048e90

                                          215 keys


                                          The remaining items:

                                          https://imgur.com/CDAB8mJ

                                          84.4 keys


                                          84.4+108+305+326+215=1038.4

                                          1050 keys


                                          https://imgur.com/a/7LeChyB

                                          buy out wae 1000 keys


                                          https://backpack.tf/item/272124427

                                          trade back


                                          sale2:

                                          https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198167302164#!/compare/1735689600/1735776000

                                          https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199082971157#!/compare/1735689600/1735776000

                                          bulk, need mini here


                                          https://backpack.tf/item/214169866

                                          sale3:

                                          https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137595103#!/compare/1734825600/1738886400

                                          https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261483133#!/compare/1738886400/1738800000

                                          cash out


                                          2 sellers @ 970 keys unsold.

                                          https://imgur.com/HkzIbG1


                                          740, 750, 1000

                                          Guys be like me, open the suggestion, don't understand what's going on, leave the suggestion

                                            This reminds me when people paid 600 keys for the circling heart Head Warmer. Always Head Warmer with these insane prices.

                                              Well I’ll be damned

                                                What is even happening?

                                                  This is what happens when your GE Mancer's mini completely breaks down and now there's no real mini for it.

                                                    💀

                                                      daaammnn it got sweaty and greasy in here >_>

                                                      god I love this suggestion

                                                        According to my calculations, this is worth 73350 Ref

                                                        The sale is now outdated.

                                                          Due to key price? (Idk I wanna know)

                                                            No, it's because it's been 4 months since the suggestion, AwesomeSause. xd Good assumption though.

                                                        This is chaos personally i think this is pretty solid but... what did we expect from a themed pyro hat...