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1/1. Two recent sales, sold to a collector.
Item history: https://backpack.tf/item/15009931487
The movement between Matthias and Nihbarre was him brokering the hat.
I purchased it for 45 keys from nihbarre:
https://imgur.com/a/faOCejv
Compare links don't show the hat for whatever reason, hopefully those will update.
I then sold it for 50 to Dunderman1:
https://imgur.com/a/f7lE2fc