Sale 1:

Sold for 36 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1737158400/1737244800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098142278#!/compare/1737072000/1737331200

https://backpack.tf/item/12512530875

= 36 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 34 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1736640000/1736726400 - Near ID: 15349591521

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163506579#!/compare/1736640000/1736726400

https://backpack.tf/item/12414577988

= 34 keys

Sale 3:

Sold to STN for 32 keys + negligible metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1736121600/1736208000 - Near ID: 15327961393

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1736121600/1736208000

https://backpack.tf/item/12414577988

= 32 keys

Sale 4:

Sold to a bot for 29 keys + negligible metal (Buyer’s end)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198846480611#!/compare/1731369600/1731801600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199235704407#!/compare/1731715200/1731888000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Starlight%20Haze%20Plaid%20Lad&at=2025-02-10T02:38:45.217Z - labelled as 29 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/12504742493

= 29 keys

Sale 5:

Sold back to STN for 29 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163506579#!/compare/1738627200/1738886400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1738800000/1738886400

https://backpack.tf/item/12414577988

This follows the 34 key sale

= 29 keys

Sale 6:

Sold to a bot for 24 keys + ~1 key in metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198179181242#!/compare/1738022400/1738540800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1737936000/1738022400

https://backpack.tf/item/15394381569

It’s likely the seller bought some cheaper items with the keys/metal obtained from this trade. Doesn’t look like it’d affect the value much at all here.

= 25 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1735344000/1735430400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199417202438#!/compare/1734825600/1735516800

https://backpack.tf/item/12912209805

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199417202438#!/compare/1734825600/1735516800 - won’t update

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1735516800/1735603200

https://backpack.tf/item/12912209805

Untraceable

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198229857128#!/compare/1735084800/1735257600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1734998400/1735084800

https://backpack.tf/item/12512530875

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1731283200/1731369600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147024042#!/compare/1731024000/1731369600

https://backpack.tf/item/12504742493

Untraceable, gambled afterwards

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31341;5;u278

$78.99, Jan 23rd

This’ll exceed 40 keys, which is way too high here. Excluding.

Sellers/Buyers:

https://i.imgur.com/cGzAtO8.png

https://backpack.tf/item/15394381569 - ~35.4 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/12912209805 - ~35.4 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13172365107 - 37 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/12838196085 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/12784827814 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/12504742493 - marketplace

Sales at:

25

29 (2x)

32

34

36

Buyer at 28, another at 29. With the amount of sales we have at 29 or lower, as well as potential sales at those prices (bot dumps in the “Other Sales” section), I will not be excluding 29, but I will exclude 25.

34 re-sold for 29, but considering 29 is being kept in the range, and we have a supporting sale at 36, we should be fine to keep 34. 36 is too high given current sellers, so I’ll exclude 36.

Taking 29-34 keys.