Sale 1:

Sold for Fountain of Delight High Five (Suggestion at 11.5 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389372563#!/compare/1737936000/1738022400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199023818340#!/compare/1737849600/1737936000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Festive%20Falling%20Star%20Nightcap&at=2025-02-14T03:21:06.607Z - B/O of 12

https://backpack.tf/item/14056320518

= 12 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 9 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1739318400/1739404800 - Near ID: 15447568925

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068543310#!/compare/1739318400/1739491200

https://backpack.tf/item/13885101629

= 9 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 8 keys + ~0.5 keys in metal (Scattered in buyer’s end)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1739318400/1739404800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068543310#!/compare/1739318400/1739491200

https://backpack.tf/item/14452319393

= 8.5 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199236949778#!/compare/1731801600/1731888000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198931708958#!/compare/1730851200/1732406400

https://backpack.tf/item/14128030333

SCM, can’t tell what it sold for

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071024318#!/compare/1736640000/1736899200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1736812800/1736899200

https://backpack.tf/item/13883439897

Untraceable, some metal matches

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1737676800/1737763200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199070117368#!/compare/1675987200/1739232000

https://backpack.tf/item/13883439897

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1734393600/1734480000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199538198279#!/compare/1734652800/1734739200

https://backpack.tf/item/14452319393

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1738195200/1738281600 - Near ID: 15409324415

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199454798964#!/compare/1738281600/1738368000

https://backpack.tf/item/14452319393

8 keys + negligible metal match. More metal would’ve been involved.

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199454798964#!/compare/1739059200/1739404800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1739232000/1739318400

https://backpack.tf/item/14452319393

Untraceable

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259564080#!/compare/1734393600/1734566400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199126128619#!/compare/1734134400/1734393600

https://backpack.tf/item/15256869423

Untraceable, auctioned

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199126128619#!/compare/1734566400/1734652800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199197624825#!/compare/1734566400/1734652800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Festive%20Falling%20Star%20Nightcap&at=2025-02-14T03:21:06.607Z - labelled as 8 keys + ~0.5 keys in metal

https://backpack.tf/item/15256869423

Some keys and metal match

Fountain of Delight High Five:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/67aec169df159a29360cfe35

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31422;5;u321

$22.99, December 5th, 25th (2x), 30th, Jan 6th, 22nd, & Feb 12th

https://backpack.tf/item/13915111764 - either December 30th, or Jan 6th

https://backpack.tf/item/14452319393 - most likely Jan 22nd

Can’t confirm other histories

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.76, December 5th, Jan 22nd

~$1.78 average, around December 25th (not using the specific day due to spike in keys)

$1.80, December 30th

$1.78, Jan 6th

$1.82, Feb 12th

22.99/1.76 = 13.062, rounds to 13

22.99/1.78 = 12.916, rounds to 13

22.99/1.8 = 12.772, rounds to 13

22.99/1.82 = 12.632, rounds to 13

= 13 keys (8x)

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/mavkvSm.png

https://backpack.tf/item/13881460828 - ~9.4 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13885101629 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/14452319393 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/13908824095 - marketplace

Sales at:

8.5

9

12

13 (8x, marketplace)

The sale at 8.5 will round down (though it’s likely more metal was involved, and would end up rounding up to 9). Won’t affect the range.

While there is a seller at ~9.4, we have a lot of sales for higher. Will keep them in the range. Currently only 1 seller below them.

Taking 9-13 keys.