Sale 1:

Sold for 8 keys + 19 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199028972562#!/compare/1731628800/1731715200 - Near ID: 15140862299

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116330261#!/compare/1724457600/1739491200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Festive%20Falling%20Star%20Balkan%27s%20Brute&at=2025-02-14T04:30:31.827Z - confirmed

https://backpack.tf/item/15054008353

= 8.5 keys

Sale 2:

Sold with negligible metal for Robots Destroyed part + Self-Aware Beauty Mark

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1738454400/1738540800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199206438983#!/compare/1738108800/1738627200

https://backpack.tf/item/14126438711

https://i.imgur.com/skukHVd.png - B/O of 8

Easily caps.

= 8 keys (Capped by B/O)

Sale 3:

Sold to a bot with negligible metal for 7 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198884770209#!/compare/1734048000/1734566400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199192088525#!/compare/1734134400/1734220800

https://backpack.tf/item/13967522454

= 7 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199202208101#!/compare/1738972800/1739059200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1738972800/1739059200

https://backpack.tf/item/14945315777

Bulk/untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105391309#!/compare/1732060800/1732665600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198875115195#!/compare/1734220800/1734566400

https://backpack.tf/item/14549671714

Most likely sold for 8 keys. 2nd compare link most likely isn’t the buyer, looks like some gambling was involved. I don’t doubt it was 8 keys to some other gambler that didn’t scan it in their inventory, but I won’t count this.

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047141747#!/compare/1734652800/1734825600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1734739200/1734825600

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Festive%20Falling%20Star%20Balkan%27s%20Brute&at=2025-02-14T04:30:31.827Z - labelled as 6 keys + 47.77 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/14545092708

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1734652800/1734739200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198817827542#!/compare/1734652800/1735516800

https://backpack.tf/item/14296428393

Untraceable

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198306872661#!/compare/1738195200/1739318400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145331385#!/compare/1738713600/1738886400

https://backpack.tf/item/14218600880

Untraceable

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199774510961#!/compare/1733961600/1734480000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199307374254#!/compare/1733961600/1734048000

https://backpack.tf/item/14154431555

Bulk/untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199569232273#!/compare/1734912000/1735344000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1735344000/1735430400

https://backpack.tf/item/14154431555

Untraceable

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1736035200/1736121600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091034413#!/compare/1736035200/1736121600

https://backpack.tf/item/14154431555

Untraceable. Could potentially find out by going through the history on the buyer’s end and checking which IDs match (since the seller bought more than 1 unusual from the same bot separately), but I don’t think it’s worth the effort.

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091034413#!/compare/1736467200/1736553600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1736467200/1736553600

https://backpack.tf/item/14154431555

Bulk for keys

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1738022400/1738108800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199134045258#!/compare/1737849600/1738108800

https://backpack.tf/item/14154431555

Untraceable, 5 keys match

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199134045258#!/compare/1738108800/1738195200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358957257#!/compare/1738195200/1738281600

https://backpack.tf/item/14154431555

Untraceable

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073293373#!/compare/1738368000/1739232000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088878793#!/compare/1738368000/1738454400

https://backpack.tf/item/14148671481

Bulk for Tainted Frost Lumbercap

#13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199135924940#!/compare/1734652800/1734739200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199632477101#!/compare/1734652800/1734739200

https://backpack.tf/item/13882565913

Most likely a backpack buy

#14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199070970177#!/compare/1738108800/1738195200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198287828100#!/compare/1738022400/1738195200

https://backpack.tf/item/13882565913

Untraceable, probably gambled

#15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198287828100#!/compare/1738022400/1738195200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198444184783#!/compare/1737676800/1738195200

https://backpack.tf/item/13882565913

Untraceable

#16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198941603014#!/compare/1734220800/1739491200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1734220800/1734307200

https://backpack.tf/item/13880936409

Untraceable

#17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1734307200/1734393600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1734307200/1734393600

https://backpack.tf/item/13880936409

Untraceable, bot flip

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31434;5;u321

$15.95, December 4th & Jan 30th

These sales will end up being ~8.5-9 keys, which is too high compared to current sellers. Excluding.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/mVd3EZU.png

https://backpack.tf/item/14154431555 - ~7.7 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14602982619 - 8 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14148671481 - 8 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13879419353 - 8 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14545092708 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/13967522454 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/14055950469 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/14254940068 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/13980940593 - marketplace

Sales at:

7

8

8.5

+ Marketplace sales at 8.5+ keys

3 sellers at 8 would suggest 8.5 is too high. Excluding 8.5.

Seller at ~7.7 keys would suggest that 8 flat is too low. While 7 went to a bot, there are currently no buyers around that price.

Taking 7-8 keys.