Sale 1:

Sold for 18 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1737158400/1737244800 - Near ID: 15371392149

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045883624#!/compare/1737244800/1737331200

https://backpack.tf/item/12011068336

= 18 keys

Sale 2:

Most likely sold for 16 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119634686#!/compare/1736380800/1736553600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210188015#!/compare/1736294400/1736812800

https://backpack.tf/item/11932070853

Seller’s end makes it pretty obvious. It most likely went to a gambler, judging by histories.

Gambled afterwards.

= 16 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 14 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087127437#!/compare/1732752000/1732838400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119634686#!/compare/1729555200/1732838400

https://backpack.tf/item/11932070853

= 14 keys

Sale 4:

Sold to a bot for 12 keys + more than half a key in metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199390911079#!/compare/1732838400/1732924800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1732752000/1732838400

https://backpack.tf/item/12610897059

= 13 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198359062829#!/compare/1736294400/1736640000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1736208000/1736294400

https://backpack.tf/item/12011068336

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/item/14987471195 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/11930484330 - mannco/scammer

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31282;5;u244

$27.99, November 28th, December 8th, January 12th & 25th

Couldn’t confirm any histories.

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.78, November 28th

$1.76, December 8th

$1.80, Jan 12th

$1.77, Jan 25th

27.99/1.76 = 15.903, rounds to 16 keys

27.99/1.77 = 15.814, rounds to 16 keys

27.99/1.78 = 15.725, rounds to 16 keys

27.99/1.8 = 15.55, rounds to 16 keys

Sellers/Buyers:

https://i.imgur.com/rY1V3cY.png

https://backpack.tf/item/12610897059 - ~15.1 keys

Sales at:

13

14

16 (5x, 4 marketplace)

18

Given the sales at 16 and 18 keys, it’s likely the current seller wasn’t listed for ~15.1 the entire time. I’ll keep 16, but exclude 18.

Buyers at ~13.7 keys, excluding 13.

Taking 14-16 keys.