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Sale 1:
Sold for 18 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1737158400/1737244800 - Near ID: 15371392149
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045883624#!/compare/1737244800/1737331200
https://backpack.tf/item/12011068336
= 18 keys
Sale 2:
Most likely sold for 16 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119634686#!/compare/1736380800/1736553600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210188015#!/compare/1736294400/1736812800
https://backpack.tf/item/11932070853
Seller’s end makes it pretty obvious. It most likely went to a gambler, judging by histories.
Gambled afterwards.
= 16 keys
Sale 3:
Sold for 14 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087127437#!/compare/1732752000/1732838400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119634686#!/compare/1729555200/1732838400
https://backpack.tf/item/11932070853
= 14 keys
Sale 4:
Sold to a bot for 12 keys + more than half a key in metal
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199390911079#!/compare/1732838400/1732924800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1732752000/1732838400
https://backpack.tf/item/12610897059
= 13 keys
Other Sales:
#1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198359062829#!/compare/1736294400/1736640000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1736208000/1736294400
https://backpack.tf/item/12011068336
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/item/14987471195 - mannco
https://backpack.tf/item/11930484330 - mannco/scammer
Marketplace Sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31282;5;u244
$27.99, November 28th, December 8th, January 12th & 25th
Couldn’t confirm any histories.
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:
$1.78, November 28th
$1.76, December 8th
$1.80, Jan 12th
$1.77, Jan 25th
27.99/1.76 = 15.903, rounds to 16 keys
27.99/1.77 = 15.814, rounds to 16 keys
27.99/1.78 = 15.725, rounds to 16 keys
27.99/1.8 = 15.55, rounds to 16 keys
Sellers/Buyers:
https://i.imgur.com/rY1V3cY.png
https://backpack.tf/item/12610897059 - ~15.1 keys
Sales at:
13
14
16 (5x, 4 marketplace)
18
Given the sales at 16 and 18 keys, it’s likely the current seller wasn’t listed for ~15.1 the entire time. I’ll keep 16, but exclude 18.
Buyers at ~13.7 keys, excluding 13.
Taking 14-16 keys.