Sale 1:

Sold for 10 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1734912000/1734998400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085941614#!/compare/1734912000/1735084800

https://backpack.tf/item/13645290785

https://backpack.tf/item/13645290785

= 10 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for ~6.75 keys in taunts + keys, and a Pro. KS Tide Turner Kit (Mini at ~2.25 below)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198974516259#!/compare/1739491200/1739577600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198408749644#!/compare/1739491200/1739577600

https://backpack.tf/item/13662372669

= 9 keys

Sale 3:

Sold with negligible metal for 8 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1739923200/1740009600 - Near ID: 15469436573

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198336784296#!/compare/1738713600/1739923200

https://backpack.tf/item/13647459277

The taunt wasn’t involved.

= 8 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for 7 keys + 30 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199451299044#!/compare/1738108800/1738195200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198974516259#!/compare/1738022400/1738108800

https://backpack.tf/item/13662372669

= 7.5 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1738972800/1739059200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198268947508#!/compare/1738022400/1739404800

https://backpack.tf/item/14683899986

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112417432#!/compare/1730419200/1736208000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199379718012#!/compare/1736208000/1736294400 - won’t update

https://backpack.tf/item/14667760236

Untraceable

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199379718012#!/compare/1736208000/1736294400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1736208000/1736294400

https://backpack.tf/item/14667760236

Untraceable, some metal matches

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073293373#!/compare/1733443200/1734307200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389372563#!/compare/1734220800/1734307200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Sapped%20Splitting%20Headache&at=2025-02-22T03:54:51.624Z - incorrectly labelled as 8 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13734798687

Bulk for Butterfly Season Brand Loyalist

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198213583609#!/compare/1733443200/1735516800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198330707796#!/compare/1734825600/1734998400

https://backpack.tf/item/13665249958

SCM, untraceable

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169430643#!/compare/1736640000/1737331200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199451299044#!/compare/1729987200/1738108800

https://backpack.tf/item/13662372669

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198408749644#!/compare/1739491200/1739577600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199200566190#!/compare/1739404800/1739577600

https://backpack.tf/item/13662372669

Sold for a bunch of junk not worth getting a rough value out of.

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199200566190#!/compare/1739750400/1739836800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1739750400/1739836800

https://backpack.tf/item/13662372669

Untraceable

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118320302#!/compare/1732406400/1732579200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1732492800/1732579200

https://backpack.tf/item/13647459277

Untraceable/Bulk

https://backpack.tf/item/13672013667 - mannco

Pro. KS Tide Turner Kit mini:

Using SCM sales, excluding outliers.

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Professional%20Killstreak%20Tide%20Turner%20Kit

$7.87 AUD, Feb 11th

$6.51, Feb 12th

$7.62, Feb 12th

$7.20, Feb 18th

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key

$3.36, Feb 11th

$3.40, Feb 12th

$3.39, Feb 18th

7.87/3.36 = ~2.34

6.51/3.4 = 1.915

7.62/3.4 = 2.241

7.2/3 = 2.4

Taking 1.9-2.4 (~2.25)

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31390;5;u295

$22, November 28th

$19.99, Jan 21st

These sales will be at least 11 keys, greatly exceeding current sellers. Excluding them.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/XsIiy59.png

https://backpack.tf/item/14667760236 - 9 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13647459277 - 9 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14171571177 - ~9.35 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13781828335 - 12 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13690093963 - marketplace

Highest buyer at ~7.7 keys.

Sales at:

7.5

8

9

10

Sellers at 9 keys, excluding 10.

Buyer at ~7.7 keys, excluding 7.5.

Taking 8-9 keys.